Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 11:00 PM ET?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
30
No 50%
$8.4K
$-1.9K
Smart Money Signal
15 of 30 top traders (50%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f | Yesavg 54.2¢ | $2.1K | $3.8K | +$1.8K | — 4-1 (5) |
TY Tyatsmr | Yesavg 14¢ | $331.81 | $2.4K | +$2.0K | — 5-0 (5) |
 TBill1 | Yesavg 54.6¢ | $404.14 | $630.05 | +$225.91 | 3% 3-111 (114) |
OK okcoolstorybro | Yesavg 76.4¢ | $379.88 | $497.45 | +$117.57 | — 6-5 (11) |
SU SunlineTickerCTR | Noavg 53.8¢ | $1.1K | $444.07 | -$699.03 | 70% 1715-741 (2456) |
 clazzy1 | Yesavg 56¢ | $112 | $200 | +$88 | 10% 5-44 (49) |
FL Flobodan | Yesavg 29.7¢ | $86.2 | $150 | +$93.59 | — 2-6 (8) |
 Relaccsed | Yesavg 40¢ | $40 | $100 | +$60 | 79% 22-6 (28) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Yesavg 97.6¢ | $2.0K | $85.76 | +$123.12 | 65% 4292-2315 (6607) |
PB pbshine<$100 | Yesavg 71¢ | $38.26 | $53.89 | +$15.63 | — 9-8 (17) |
SB sbimbg<$100 | Yesavg 48¢ | $18.13 | $37.77 | +$19.64 | — 8-3 (11) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 74.5¢ | $11.34 | $5 | -$6.34 | 53% 1598-1443 (3041) |
 HoshinoAICTR<$100 | Noavg 0.3¢ | $43.72 | $0.02 | -$3.01 | 29% 20-48 (68) |
 Car | Yesavg 26.4¢ | $432.21 | $0.01 | +$313.31 | 68% 1406-651 (2057) |
 smellyEllie | Yesavg 24.1¢ | $390.52 | $0 | +$1.2K | 41% 9-13 (22) |
 HorribleWorkCTR | Noavg 79¢ | $3.5K | $0 | $-3.5K | 0% 0-78 (78) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Noavg 14.7¢ | $547.35 | — | -$11.52 | 39% 3605-5672 (9277) |
 paddaaCTR | Noavg 85.3¢ | $3.6K | — | $-3.1K | 60% 503-336 (839) |
WA WarriorH<$100 | Yesavg 17¢ | $21.21 | — | -$0.21 | 10% 15-132 (147) |
SP SpringlyFawlCTR<$100 | Noavg 1¢ | $0.32 | — | -$0.32 | 3% 7-263 (270) |
 yen4uCTR<$100 | Noavg 58¢ | $41.94 | — | -$41.85 | 43% 26-34 (60) |
 WarriorPoohCTR | Noavg 66.4¢ | $477.17 | — | +$141.09 | — 4-4 (8) |
 LolakisCTR | Noavg 79¢ | $100.85 | — | -$94.47 | 20% 8-32 (40) |
0X 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876CTR | Noavg 43¢ | $107.5 | — | -$35.13 | 5% 3-55 (58) |
 Optimus-CTR | Noavg 50.5¢ | $247 | — | -$246.46 | — 5-12 (17) |
Invested
$2,085.53
Value
$3.8K
PnL
+$1.8K
Record
—
4-1 (5)
Invested
$331.81
Value
$2.4K
PnL
+$2.0K
Record
—
5-0 (5)
TBill1Invested
$404.14
Value
$630.05
PnL
+$225.91
Record
3%
3-111 (114)
Invested
$379.88
Value
$497.45
PnL
+$117.57
Record
—
6-5 (11)
Invested
$1,143.1
Value
$444.07
PnL
-$699.03
Record
70%
1715-741 (2456)
clazzy1Invested
$112
Value
$200
PnL
+$88
Record
10%
5-44 (49)
Invested
$86.2
Value
$150
PnL
+$93.59
Record
—
2-6 (8)
RelaccsedInvested
$40
Value
$100
PnL
+$60
Record
79%
22-6 (28)
Invested
$1,978.16
Value
$85.76
PnL
+$123.12
Record
65%
4292-2315 (6607)
Invested
$38.26
Value
$53.89
PnL
+$15.63
Record
—
9-8 (17)
Invested
$18.13
Value
$37.77
PnL
+$19.64
Record
—
8-3 (11)
Invested
$11.34
Value
$5
PnL
-$6.34
Record
53%
1598-1443 (3041)
HoshinoAICTR<$100Invested
$43.72
Value
$0.02
PnL
-$3.01
Record
29%
20-48 (68)
CarInvested
$432.21
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$313.31
Record
68%
1406-651 (2057)
smellyEllieInvested
$390.52
Value
$0
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
41%
9-13 (22)
HorribleWorkCTRInvested
$3,515.35
Value
$0
PnL
$-3.5K
Record
0%
0-78 (78)
Invested
$547.35
Value
—
PnL
-$11.52
Record
39%
3605-5672 (9277)
paddaaCTRInvested
$3,580
Value
—
PnL
$-3.1K
Record
60%
503-336 (839)
Invested
$21.21
Value
—
PnL
-$0.21
Record
10%
15-132 (147)
Invested
$0.32
Value
—
PnL
-$0.32
Record
3%
7-263 (270)
yen4uCTR<$100Invested
$41.94
Value
—
PnL
-$41.85
Record
43%
26-34 (60)
WarriorPoohCTRInvested
$477.17
Value
—
PnL
+$141.09
Record
—
4-4 (8)
LolakisCTRInvested
$100.85
Value
—
PnL
-$94.47
Record
20%
8-32 (40)
Invested
$107.5
Value
—
PnL
-$35.13
Record
5%
3-55 (58)
Optimus-CTRInvested
$247
Value
—
PnL
-$246.46
Record
—
5-12 (17)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f
Yes — $3.8K
Tyatsmr
Yes — $2.4K
TBill1
Yes — $630.05
okcoolstorybro
Yes — $497.45
SunlineTicker
CTRNo — $444.07
clazzy1
Yes — $200
Flobodan
Yes — $150
Relaccsed
Yes — $100
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Yes — $85.76
pbshine
Yes — $53.89