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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 10:00 PM ET?

Resolved Yes. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

59

Yes 65%

Total Value

$116.0K

Combined PnL

$59.4K

Smart Money Signal

Yes

40 of 59 top traders (68%)19 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes40 traders
Total Value$111.9K
Total Shares111,851
Combined PnL+$88.0K
No19 traders
Total Value$4.1K
Total Shares36,301
Combined PnL$-28.6K
Yes — 68%No — 32%
DR
dromedaryy
Yes

Invested

$5,967.9

Value

$59.7K

PnL

+$53.7K

Record

27%

43-114 (157)

JO
JokerTheClown
Yes

Invested

$19,397.23

Value

$30.9K

PnL

+$11.5K

Record

6%

13-200 (213)

CosmicCedar
Yes

Invested

$5,381.16

Value

$5.4K

PnL

+$54.36

Record

33%

48-96 (144)

0X
0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f
Yes

Invested

$4,286.56

Value

$4.8K

PnL

+$508.85

Record

—

4-1 (5)

SA
SaylorMoonCTR
No

Invested

$9,663.92

Value

$4.1K

PnL

$-4.3K

Record

4%

2-53 (55)

CI
cigarettes
Yes

Invested

$879.05

Value

$2.8K

PnL

+$1.9K

Record

53%

6903-6063 (12966)

LadyLuck2
Yes

Invested

$717.58

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$606.21

Record

—

4-3 (7)

yen4u
Yes

Invested

$1,252.6

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$11.26

Record

43%

26-34 (60)

0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642
Yes

Invested

$5,728.44

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$5.1K

Record

—

8-8 (16)

G.Hchen
Yes

Invested

$392.82

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$607.18

Record

6%

7-101 (108)

TH
thebug44
Yes

Invested

$318

Value

$600

PnL

+$282

Record

2%

1-53 (54)

Car
Yes

Invested

$6,461.19

Value

$555.01

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

68%

1406-651 (2057)

Relaccsed
Yes

Invested

$334.23

Value

$508.95

PnL

+$245.5

Record

79%

22-6 (28)

OK
okcoolstorybro
Yes

Invested

$438.42

Value

$471.72

PnL

+$33.3

Record

—

6-5 (11)

Sardinianshepherd
Yes

Invested

$114.9

Value

$310.54

PnL

+$195.64

Record

4%

3-65 (68)

CoinTrick
Yes

Invested

$294.62

Value

$294.91

PnL

+$0.29

Record

99%

238-1 (239)

GrokEnjoyer
Yes

Invested

$85.46

Value

$221.99

PnL

+$136.52

Record

9%

3-29 (32)

Lolakis
Yes

Invested

$3,616.49

Value

$211.46

PnL

-$54.39

Record

20%

8-32 (40)

MA
MarquisDeMott<$100
Yes

Invested

$76.31

Value

$77

PnL

+$0.69

Record

93%

106-8 (114)

probability<$100
Yes

Invested

$64.5

Value

$74.14

PnL

+$9.64

Record

42%

20-28 (48)

mombil<$100
Yes

Invested

$54.03

Value

$70.04

PnL

+$16.01

Record

5%

1-19 (20)

PU
purplegatto<$100
Yes

Invested

$41.26

Value

$47

PnL

+$5.74

Record

68%

2630-1225 (3855)

TBill1<$100
Yes

Invested

$24.17

Value

$46.08

PnL

+$21.91

Record

3%

3-111 (114)

HU
hugecaulkCTR<$100
No

Invested

$60

Value

$1.3

PnL

-$58.7

Record

29%

9-22 (31)

NO
NotJumpCTR
No

Invested

$1,764.14

Value

$0.05

PnL

-$38.44

Record

53%

759-682 (1441)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xbb9fbe35...a6c92d
Slug
faa-nationwide-ground-stop-lifted-by-november-13-10pm-et

Traders in this Market

DR

dromedaryy

Yes — $59.7K

+$53.7K
JO

JokerTheClown

Yes — $30.9K

+$11.5K

CosmicCedar

Yes — $5.4K

+$54.36
0X

0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f

Yes — $4.8K

+$508.85
SA

SaylorMoon

CTR

No — $4.1K

$-4.3K
CI

cigarettes

Yes — $2.8K

+$1.9K

LadyLuck2

Yes — $1.3K

+$606.21

yen4u

Yes — $1.3K

+$11.26

0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642

Yes — $1.1K

+$5.1K

G.Hchen

Yes — $1.0K

+$607.18
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