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UnderUnderOverUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Real Madrid vs. KK Crvena Zvezda: O/U 172.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 75%
Total Value
$77.5
Combined PnL
-$156.99
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$70.02
Total Shares489
Combined PnL-$159.7
Over1 trader
Total Value$7.48
Total Shares7
Combined PnL+$2.72
Under — 80%Over — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 38.4¢ | $204.26 | $60.7 | -$143.56 | 51% 2892-2823 (5715) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Underavg 42¢ | $22.02 | $9.32 | -$12.7 | 42% 719-993 (1712) |
SU suntori<$100 | Overavg 63.7¢ | $4.76 | $7.48 | +$2.72 | 46% 1802-2089 (3891) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 43¢ | $3.44 | — | -$3.44 | 49% 1475-1523 (2998) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Underavg 50¢ | $1.0K | — | +$0 | 81% 99-23 (122) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$204.26
Value
$60.7
PnL
-$143.56
Record
51%
2892-2823 (5715)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$22.02
Value
$9.32
PnL
-$12.7
Record
42%
719-993 (1712)
SU
suntori<$100Invested
$4.76
Value
$7.48
PnL
+$2.72
Record
46%
1802-2089 (3891)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$3.44
Value
—
PnL
-$3.44
Record
49%
1475-1523 (2998)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$1,000
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
81%
99-23 (122)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x95ab4610...fe2218
Slug
euroleague-madrid-zvezda-2026-11-12-total-172pt5