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YesYesYesNo
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 8?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$45.8
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares623
Combined PnL-$45.8
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 80%No — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452CTR<$100 | Yesavg 8.2¢ | $30.78 | — | -$29.76 | 69% 5021-2239 (7260) |
TO TokorCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.2¢ | $15.54 | — | -$15.54 | 62% 931-561 (1492) |
19 196874353278CTR | Yesavg 1¢ | $249.21 | — | -$0.51 | 40% 466-700 (1166) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 98.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 21107-45346 (66453) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 14645-13972 (28617) |
0X
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452CTR<$100Invested
$30.78
Value
—
PnL
-$29.76
Record
69%
5021-2239 (7260)
TO
TokorCTR<$100Invested
$15.54
Value
—
PnL
-$15.54
Record
62%
931-561 (1492)
19
196874353278CTRInvested
$249.21
Value
—
PnL
-$0.51
Record
40%
466-700 (1166)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
21107-45346 (66453)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
14645-13972 (28617)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6815287c...fce3b9
Slug
ethereum-above-2600-on-november-8-2026