Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Up 71%
2 arb excluded
$1.2K
$75.08
Smart Money Signal
10 of 14 top traders (71%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 53.1¢ | $247.32 | $375.83 | +$128.51 | 51% 10467-9935 (20402) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98¢ | $279.3 | $285 | +$5.7 | 89% 29224-3554 (32778) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Downavg 58.8¢ | $300.55 | $141.29 | -$159.26 | 56% 77345-59726 (137071) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 69.3¢ | $97.85 | $141.29 | +$43.44 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 58.8¢ | $202.7 | — | -$202.7 | |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 87.2¢ | $94.38 | $108.17 | +$13.79 | 55% 51621-42810 (94431) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 77.4¢ | $106.57 | $100 | -$6.57 | 51% 12016-11488 (23504) |
AS asdcaxzARB<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $94.99 | $80.91 | -$14.08 | 47% 6472-7172 (13644) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 86¢ | $69.61 | $80.91 | +$11.3 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 17.4¢ | $25.37 | — | -$25.37 | |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $23.37 | — | -$23.37 | 45% 40037-47965 (88002) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 76.3¢ | $36.68 | $45 | +$8.32 | 61% 46036-29200 (75236) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.5¢ | $32.97 | — | -$32.97 | 49% 80904-84349 (165253) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 38.2¢ | $28.11 | — | -$28.11 | 58% 63234-46452 (109686) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $17.6 | $20 | +$2.4 | 63% 60872-35320 (96192) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $14.14 | $16.2 | +$2.06 | 61% 98537-62529 (161066) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $16.93 | — | -$16.93 | 30% 12152-28123 (40275) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 46.9¢ | $18.74 | $40 | +$21.26 | 63% 42391-25095 (67486) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $9.9 | $10.12 | +$0.22 | 66% 130579-67519 (198098) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 84.9¢ | $4.25 | $5 | +$0.75 | 65% 130170-70085 (200255) |
Invested
$247.32
Value
$375.83
PnL
+$128.51
Record
51%
10467-9935 (20402)
Invested
$279.3
Value
$285
PnL
+$5.7
Record
89%
29224-3554 (32778)
Invested
$300.55
Value
$141.29
PnL
-$159.26
Record
56%
77345-59726 (137071)
Both legs:
MayorMamdaniInvested
$94.38
Value
$108.17
PnL
+$13.79
Record
55%
51621-42810 (94431)
Invested
$106.57
Value
$100
PnL
-$6.57
Record
51%
12016-11488 (23504)
Invested
$94.99
Value
$80.91
PnL
-$14.08
Record
47%
6472-7172 (13644)
Both legs:
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$23.37
Value
—
PnL
-$23.37
Record
45%
40037-47965 (88002)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$36.68
Value
$45
PnL
+$8.32
Record
61%
46036-29200 (75236)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$32.97
Value
—
PnL
-$32.97
Record
49%
80904-84349 (165253)
Invested
$28.11
Value
—
PnL
-$28.11
Record
58%
63234-46452 (109686)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$17.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.4
Record
63%
60872-35320 (96192)
Invested
$14.14
Value
$16.2
PnL
+$2.06
Record
61%
98537-62529 (161066)
Invested
$16.93
Value
—
PnL
-$16.93
Record
30%
12152-28123 (40275)
ohioism<$100Invested
$18.74
Value
$40
PnL
+$21.26
Record
63%
42391-25095 (67486)
Invested
$9.9
Value
$10.12
PnL
+$0.22
Record
66%
130579-67519 (198098)
Invested
$4.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.75
Record
65%
130170-70085 (200255)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Up — $375.83
hoodquant
Up — $285
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
MayorMamdani
Up — $108.17
blue.birds
Up — $100
asdcaxz
ARBArbitrage — excluded
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $45
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown — $0