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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

15

Up 53%

Total Value

$357.7

Combined PnL

-$132.58

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 15 top traders (53%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders
Total Value$357.7
Total Shares358
Combined PnL+$124.16
Up8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares585
Combined PnL-$256.74
Down — 47%Up — 53%
pspspsps5
Down

Invested

$57.36

Value

$125.08

PnL

+$67.72

Record

45%

40028-47949 (87977)

OhioRiskManagement
Down

Invested

$69.9

Value

$101.2

PnL

+$31.3

Record

49%

80875-84321 (165196)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Down

Invested

$50.72

Value

$52.46

PnL

+$1.74

Record

47%

6449-7132 (13581)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$70.62

Value

—

PnL

-$70.62

Record

51%

11991-11459 (23450)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$19.65

Value

$40

PnL

+$20.35

Record

58%

63200-46432 (109632)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$26.35

Value

$23.45

PnL

-$2.9

Record

67%

102458-50758 (153216)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR
Up

Invested

$131.18

Value

—

PnL

-$131.18

Record

56%

77327-59680 (137007)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$8.7

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.6

Record

65%

130132-70051 (200183)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.97

Value

—

PnL

-$6.97

Record

61%

98514-62493 (161007)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$1.16

Value

$5.51

PnL

+$4.35

Record

55%

51597-42791 (94388)

OhioAICTR<$100
Up

Invested

$33.52

Value

—

PnL

-$33.52

Record

54%

10440-8797 (19237)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.09

Value

—

PnL

-$5.09

Record

61%

46015-29175 (75190)

ohioismCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.76

Value

—

PnL

-$3.76

Record

63%

42374-25068 (67442)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.12

Value

—

PnL

-$5.12

Record

65%

114511-61547 (176058)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.48

Value

—

PnL

-$0.48

Record

56%

60462-47011 (107473)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x0af8ad8f...9bcf01
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793991300

Traders in this Market

pspspsps5

Down — $125.08

+$67.72

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $101.2

+$31.3
AS

asdcaxz

Down — $52.46

+$1.74
BL

blue.birds

CTR

Up — $0

-$70.62
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $40

+$20.35
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $23.45

-$2.9
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Up — $0

-$131.18
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $10

+$1.6
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Up — $0

-$6.97

MayorMamdani

Down — $5.51

+$4.35
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