Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
18
Up 61%
$269.01
-$819.45
Smart Money Signal
11 of 18 top traders (61%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 48¢ | $300.85 | — | -$300.85 | 51% 10412-9892 (20304) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Upavg 57.3¢ | $227.81 | — | -$227.81 | 67% 102422-50721 (153143) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 99.1¢ | $137.78 | $139.08 | +$1.3 | 30% 12118-28098 (40216) |
 pspspsps5CTR | Upavg 85.8¢ | $117.42 | — | -$117.42 | 45% 40015-47936 (87951) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.4¢ | $46.18 | — | -$46.18 | 48% 6424-7100 (13524) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 85.5¢ | $49.53 | $55.39 | +$5.86 | 55% 51567-42780 (94347) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 60.9¢ | $79.47 | — | -$79.47 | 51% 11969-11428 (23397) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 52.7¢ | $21.09 | — | -$21.09 | 61% 45995-29139 (75134) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 76.8¢ | $15.3 | $18.19 | +$2.88 | 66% 130509-67453 (197962) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Downavg 47.7¢ | $14.32 | $30 | +$15.68 | 54% 10436-8790 (19226) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 81.7¢ | $46.82 | — | -$46.82 | 49% 80853-84295 (165148) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 65.5¢ | $10.59 | $16.17 | +$5.58 | 74% 105001-37038 (142039) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.6¢ | $5.23 | — | -$5.23 | 61% 98489-62458 (160947) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $6.47 | — | -$6.47 | 63% 60742-35218 (95960) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 42.7¢ | $2.13 | $5 | +$2.87 | 58% 63170-46406 (109576) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 28.4¢ | $1.47 | $5.19 | +$3.71 | 56% 77298-59641 (136939) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 79.2¢ | $15.8 | — | -$3.4 | 65% 130099-70015 (200114) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 52.7¢ | $2.58 | — | -$2.58 | 63% 42352-25041 (67393) |
Invested
$300.85
Value
—
PnL
-$300.85
Record
51%
10412-9892 (20304)
Invested
$227.81
Value
—
PnL
-$227.81
Record
67%
102422-50721 (153143)
Invested
$137.78
Value
$139.08
PnL
+$1.3
Record
30%
12118-28098 (40216)
pspspsps5CTRInvested
$117.42
Value
—
PnL
-$117.42
Record
45%
40015-47936 (87951)
Invested
$46.18
Value
—
PnL
-$46.18
Record
48%
6424-7100 (13524)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$49.53
Value
$55.39
PnL
+$5.86
Record
55%
51567-42780 (94347)
Invested
$79.47
Value
—
PnL
-$79.47
Record
51%
11969-11428 (23397)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$21.09
Value
—
PnL
-$21.09
Record
61%
45995-29139 (75134)
Invested
$15.3
Value
$18.19
PnL
+$2.88
Record
66%
130509-67453 (197962)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$14.32
Value
$30
PnL
+$15.68
Record
54%
10436-8790 (19226)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$46.82
Value
—
PnL
-$46.82
Record
49%
80853-84295 (165148)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$10.59
Value
$16.17
PnL
+$5.58
Record
74%
105001-37038 (142039)
Invested
$5.23
Value
—
PnL
-$5.23
Record
61%
98489-62458 (160947)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$6.47
Value
—
PnL
-$6.47
Record
63%
60742-35218 (95960)
Invested
$2.13
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.87
Record
58%
63170-46406 (109576)
Invested
$1.47
Value
$5.19
PnL
+$3.71
Record
56%
77298-59641 (136939)
Invested
$15.8
Value
—
PnL
-$3.4
Record
65%
130099-70015 (200114)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.58
Value
—
PnL
-$2.58
Record
63%
42352-25041 (67393)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
Hcrystallash
Down — $139.08
pspspsps5
CTRUp — $0
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
Down — $55.39
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
Down — $18.19
OhioAI
Down — $30