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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Down 64%

Total Value

$759.08

Combined PnL

-$42.17

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 14 top traders (64%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders

Total Value$759.08

Total Shares759

Combined PnL+$77.75

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares364

Combined PnL-$119.92

Down — 64%Up — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.6¢	$252.7	$256.27	+$3.57	89% 29115-3553 (32668)
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 62.7¢	$133.83	$213.52	+$79.69	56% 77298-59641 (136939)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 77¢	$107.73	$107.19	-$0.54	67% 102422-50721 (153143)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 18.4¢	$96.66	—	-$96.66	51% 10412-9892 (20304)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 93¢	$60.61	$58.36	-$2.25	45% 40015-47936 (87951)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 88.1¢	$52.21	$53.89	+$1.68	49% 80853-84295 (165148)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 89.9¢	$24.57	$27.32	+$2.75	61% 98489-62458 (160947)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 90.1¢	$29.1	$20	-$9.1	58% 63170-46406 (109576)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 90.3¢	$16.9	$17.52	+$0.62	66% 130509-67453 (197962)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 22¢	$15.91	—	-$15.91	48% 6424-7100 (13524)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 24.6¢	$7.14	—	-$7.14	51% 11969-11428 (23397)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 73.4¢	$3.67	$5	+$1.33	65% 130099-70015 (200114)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.06	—	-$0.06	55% 51567-42780 (94347)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$0.15	—	-$0.15	63% 60742-35218 (95960)

Invested

$252.7

Value

$256.27

PnL

+$3.57

Record

89%

29115-3553 (32668)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$133.83

Value

$213.52

PnL

+$79.69

Record

56%

77298-59641 (136939)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$107.73

Value

$107.19

PnL

-$0.54

Record

67%

102422-50721 (153143)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$96.66

Value

—

PnL

-$96.66

Record

51%

10412-9892 (20304)

Invested

$60.61

Value

$58.36

PnL

-$2.25

Record

45%

40015-47936 (87951)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$52.21

Value

$53.89

PnL

+$1.68

Record

49%

80853-84295 (165148)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$24.57

Value

$27.32

PnL

+$2.75

Record

61%

98489-62458 (160947)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$29.1

Value

$20

PnL

-$9.1

Record

58%

63170-46406 (109576)

Invested

$16.9

Value

$17.52

PnL

+$0.62

Record

66%

130509-67453 (197962)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$15.91

Value

—

PnL

-$15.91

Record

48%

6424-7100 (13524)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$7.14

Value

—

PnL

-$7.14

Record

51%

11969-11428 (23397)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$3.67

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.33

Record

65%

130099-70015 (200114)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$0.06

Value

—

PnL

-$0.06

Record

55%

51567-42780 (94347)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100

Invested

$0.15

Value

—

PnL

-$0.15

Record

63%

60742-35218 (95960)

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 14 top traders (64%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x44307e47...b9446d

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793986500

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Down — $256.27

uninformedfloww

Down — $213.52

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $107.19

ply-pm2

Up — $0

pspspsps5

Down — $58.36

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $53.89

asidjasiodja

Down — $27.32

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $20

asdaefef

Down — $17.52

asdcaxz

Up — $0

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