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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

16

Down 100%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$875.61

Combined PnL

$71.89

Smart Money Signal

Down

16 of 16 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down16 traders

Total Value$805.07

Total Shares805

Combined PnL+$71.89

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100	Upavg 27¢	$305.29	$70.53	-$234.76	56% 77137-59456 (136593)
└ Up leg	Upavg 27¢	$251.85	—	-$251.85
└ Down leg	Downavg 75.8¢	$53.44	$70.53	+$17.09
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 66.5¢	$200.01	$251.3	+$51.29	51% 10252-9748 (20000)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 77.7¢	$150.23	$145.98	-$4.24	67% 102181-50515 (152696)
AS asdcaxz	Downavg 87¢	$102.28	$108.81	+$6.53	48% 6262-6858 (13120)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 92.8¢	$79.01	$85.13	+$6.11	46% 39884-47739 (87623)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 85.5¢	$74.87	$67.01	-$7.86	49% 80639-84050 (164689)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 45¢	$25.55	$35	+$9.45	58% 63002-46252 (109254)
BL blue.birds<$100	Downavg 72.4¢	$25.56	$20	-$5.56	51% 11778-11240 (23018)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 91.9¢	$20.56	$22.37	+$1.81	63% 42233-24897 (67130)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 48.7¢	$14	$20	+$6	61% 45851-28985 (74836)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 77¢	$11.99	$12.41	+$0.42	56% 60290-46856 (107146)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 74¢	$8.91	$12	+$3.09	55% 51394-42628 (94022)
HC Hcrystallash<$100	Downavg 52.8¢	$8.63	$11	+$2.37	30% 12017-28024 (40041)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 80.2¢	$5.35	$5.06	-$0.28	66% 130268-67287 (197555)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 72¢	$3.75	$5	+$1.25	63% 60645-35108 (95753)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 94.7¢	$21.55	$4	-$0.73	65% 129830-69807 (199637)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 95.5¢	$47.32	—	+$2.25	89% 28835-3545 (32380)

uninformedflowwARB<$100

Invested

$305.29

Value

$70.53

PnL

-$234.76

Record

56%

77137-59456 (136593)

Both legs:

Up$251.8527¢-$251.85

Down$53.4475.8¢+$17.09

Invested

$200.01

Value

$251.3

PnL

+$51.29

Record

51%

10252-9748 (20000)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$150.23

Value

$145.98

PnL

-$4.24

Record

67%

102181-50515 (152696)

Invested

$102.28

Value

$108.81

PnL

+$6.53

Record

48%

6262-6858 (13120)

Invested

$79.01

Value

$85.13

PnL

+$6.11

Record

46%

39884-47739 (87623)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$74.87

Value

$67.01

PnL

-$7.86

Record

49%

80639-84050 (164689)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$25.55

Value

$35

PnL

+$9.45

Record

58%

63002-46252 (109254)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$25.56

Value

$20

PnL

-$5.56

Record

51%

11778-11240 (23018)

Invested

$20.56

Value

$22.37

PnL

+$1.81

Record

63%

42233-24897 (67130)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$14

Value

$20

PnL

+$6

Record

61%

45851-28985 (74836)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$11.99

Value

$12.41

PnL

+$0.42

Record

56%

60290-46856 (107146)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$8.91

Value

$12

PnL

+$3.09

Record

55%

51394-42628 (94022)

Hcrystallash<$100

Invested

$8.63

Value

$11

PnL

+$2.37

Record

30%

12017-28024 (40041)

Invested

$5.35

Value

$5.06

PnL

-$0.28

Record

66%

130268-67287 (197555)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$3.75

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.25

Record

63%

60645-35108 (95753)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$21.55

Value

$4

PnL

-$0.73

Record

65%

129830-69807 (199637)

Invested

$47.32

Value

—

PnL

+$2.25

Record

89%

28835-3545 (32380)

Smart Money Signal

Down

16 of 16 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x6526c6d5...acdd14

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793952000

Traders in this Market

uninformedfloww

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm2

Down — $251.3

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $145.98

asdcaxz

Down — $108.81

pspspsps5

Down — $85.13

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $67.01

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $35

blue.birds

Down — $20

ohioism

Down — $22.37

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $20

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