Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
15
Down 60%
$489.78
-$74.83
Smart Money Signal
9 of 15 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 63.7Β’ | $176.17 | $181.73 | +$5.56 | 67% 102181-50515 (152696) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 99.1Β’ | $93.49 | $86 | -$7.49 | 30% 12017-28024 (40041) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 75.8Β’ | $62.57 | $74 | +$11.43 | 48% 6262-6858 (13120) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 98.1Β’ | $49.07 | $50 | +$0.93 | 58% 63002-46252 (109254) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 23.6Β’ | $48.75 | β | -$48.75 | 56% 77137-59456 (136593) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 77Β’ | $25.65 | $30 | +$4.35 | 51% 11778-11240 (23018) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $40.48 | $25.99 | -$14.49 | 51% 10252-9748 (20000) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.2Β’ | $14.79 | β | -$14.79 | 52% 12189-11189 (23378) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 97Β’ | $15.37 | $13.96 | -$1.41 | 65% 129830-69807 (199637) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 80.2Β’ | $10.57 | $8.1 | -$2.47 | 49% 80639-84050 (164689) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 46.8Β’ | $10.51 | β | -$10.51 | 56% 60290-46856 (107146) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 47.7Β’ | $9.55 | $20 | +$10.45 | 61% 45851-28985 (74836) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 44.3Β’ | $45.33 | β | -$0.78 | 63% 60645-35108 (95753) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.3Β’ | $5.77 | β | -$5.77 | 55% 51394-42628 (94022) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.9Β’ | $1.08 | β | -$1.08 | 66% 130268-67287 (197555) |
Invested
$176.17
Value
$181.73
PnL
+$5.56
Record
67%
102181-50515 (152696)
Invested
$93.49
Value
$86
PnL
-$7.49
Record
30%
12017-28024 (40041)
Invested
$62.57
Value
$74
PnL
+$11.43
Record
48%
6262-6858 (13120)
Invested
$49.07
Value
$50
PnL
+$0.93
Record
58%
63002-46252 (109254)
Invested
$48.75
Value
β
PnL
-$48.75
Record
56%
77137-59456 (136593)
Invested
$25.65
Value
$30
PnL
+$4.35
Record
51%
11778-11240 (23018)
Invested
$40.48
Value
$25.99
PnL
-$14.49
Record
51%
10252-9748 (20000)
Invested
$14.79
Value
β
PnL
-$14.79
Record
52%
12189-11189 (23378)
Invested
$15.37
Value
$13.96
PnL
-$1.41
Record
65%
129830-69807 (199637)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$10.57
Value
$8.1
PnL
-$2.47
Record
49%
80639-84050 (164689)
Invested
$10.51
Value
β
PnL
-$10.51
Record
56%
60290-46856 (107146)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$9.55
Value
$20
PnL
+$10.45
Record
61%
45851-28985 (74836)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$45.33
Value
β
PnL
-$0.78
Record
63%
60645-35108 (95753)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.77
Value
β
PnL
-$5.77
Record
55%
51394-42628 (94022)
Invested
$1.08
Value
β
PnL
-$1.08
Record
66%
130268-67287 (197555)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $181.73
Hcrystallash
Down β $86
asdcaxz
Down β $74
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $50
uninformedfloww
CTRUp β $0
blue.birds
Down β $30
ply-pm2
Down β $25.99
PBot-5
CTRUp β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $13.96

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $8.1