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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Resolved Up. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

-$249.74

Smart Money Signal

Down

13 of 13 top traders (100%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down13 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares805

Combined PnL-$249.74

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 26.8¢	$57.49	—	-$57.49	67% 101397-49715 (151112)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 42.8¢	$63.72	—	-$63.72	57% 76514-58860 (135374)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 20.5¢	$29.75	—	-$29.75	48% 5573-6007 (11580)
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100	Downavg 46.4¢	$38.98	—	-$38.98	12% 18560-133902 (152462)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Downavg 43.7¢	$35.37	—	-$35.37	29% 11455-27656 (39111)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 11.9¢	$4.61	—	-$4.61	49% 79812-83277 (163089)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 11.7¢	$3.51	—	-$3.51	51% 11083-10569 (21652)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 4¢	$0.83	—	-$0.83	46% 39431-46955 (86386)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 61¢	$10.4	—	-$10.4	51% 9592-9177 (18769)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 14.8¢	$1.11	—	-$1.11	61% 97755-61856 (159611)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 14.8¢	$1.08	—	-$1.08	52% 93062-87484 (180546)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 48.7¢	$2.44	—	-$2.44	63% 41692-24326 (66018)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 9¢	$0.45	—	-$0.45	63% 60059-34551 (94610)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$57.49

Value

—

PnL

-$57.49

Record

67%

101397-49715 (151112)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$63.72

Value

—

PnL

-$63.72

Record

57%

76514-58860 (135374)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$29.75

Value

—

PnL

-$29.75

Record

48%

5573-6007 (11580)

HsilverbasherCTR<$100

Invested

$38.98

Value

—

PnL

-$38.98

Record

12%

18560-133902 (152462)

HcrystallashCTR<$100

Invested

$35.37

Value

—

PnL

-$35.37

Record

29%

11455-27656 (39111)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$4.61

Value

—

PnL

-$4.61

Record

49%

79812-83277 (163089)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$3.51

Value

—

PnL

-$3.51

Record

51%

11083-10569 (21652)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.83

Value

—

PnL

-$0.83

Record

46%

39431-46955 (86386)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$10.4

Value

—

PnL

-$10.4

Record

51%

9592-9177 (18769)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$1.11

Value

—

PnL

-$1.11

Record

61%

97755-61856 (159611)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.08

Value

—

PnL

-$1.08

Record

52%

93062-87484 (180546)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$2.44

Value

—

PnL

-$2.44

Record

63%

41692-24326 (66018)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100

Invested

$0.45

Value

—

PnL

-$0.45

Record

63%

60059-34551 (94610)

Smart Money Signal

Down

13 of 13 top traders (100%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa4ed8cdb...9bf723

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793809800

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

asdcaxz

Down — $0

Hsilverbasher

Down — $0

Hcrystallash

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

blue.birds

Down — $0

pspspsps5

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $0

asidjasiodja

Down — $0

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