Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 47%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$397.5

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 17 top traders (47%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares606

Combined PnL-$482.44

Up9 traders

Total Value$850.94

Total Shares851

Combined PnL+$84.94

Down — 47%Up — 53%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Downavg 82.1¢	$428.89	—	-$428.89	57% 72978-55627 (128605)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 53.4¢	$209.88	$248	+$38.12	48% 4975-5358 (10333)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 42.9¢	$190.09	$192.93	+$2.84	51% 9050-8602 (17652)
└ Up leg	Upavg 29.1¢	$56.08	$192.93	+$136.85
└ Down leg	Downavg 42.9¢	$134.01	—	-$134.01
BL blue.birds	Upavg 63.1¢	$134.75	$142.66	+$7.91	51% 10433-9967 (20400)
SU suntori	Upavg 68.9¢	$113.06	$152.77	+$49.41	45% 13246-16111 (29357)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 86¢	$99.43	$80	-$19.43	55% 49855-41346 (91201)
KA Kathod-Shi-14ARB<$100	Downavg 43.3¢	$74.65	$47.88	-$26.77	55% 19147-15688 (34835)
└ Down leg	Downavg 43.3¢	$51.05	—	-$51.05
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.3¢	$23.6	$47.88	+$24.28
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Upavg 52.4¢	$56.05	$55	+$7.3	64% 59473-34000 (93473)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 98¢	$49	$50	+$1	91% 25759-2464 (28223)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 79.7¢	$65	$43	-$22	49% 79064-82597 (161661)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 36¢	$32.22	$48.85	+$19.48	64% 26338-14746 (41084)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 69.8¢	$27.5	$30.65	+$3.15	65% 127489-68116 (195605)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 66.5¢	$27.35	—	-$27.35	58% 61746-45161 (106907)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 68¢	$12.15	—	-$12.15	67% 100703-49073 (149776)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 43.8¢	$5	—	-$5	61% 96902-61144 (158046)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 39¢	$1.95	—	-$1.95	56% 59205-45815 (105020)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 38¢	$1.9	—	-$1.9	63% 41189-23803 (64992)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$2.6	—	-$2.6	66% 128229-66050 (194279)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$2.6	—	-$2.6	52% 92245-86674 (178919)