Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 69%
$725.6
$72.74
Smart Money Signal
9 of 13 top traders (69%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 77.9¢ | $336.85 | $406.75 | +$69.9 | 51% 9050-8602 (17652) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 91.6¢ | $133.33 | $145.58 | +$12.25 | 49% 79064-82597 (161661) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 91.9¢ | $67.66 | $46.99 | -$20.67 | 48% 4975-5358 (10333) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 76.8¢ | $49.3 | $35 | +$8.1 | 64% 59473-34000 (93473) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 68.9¢ | $27.7 | $40.2 | +$12.5 | 51% 10433-9967 (20400) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 65.8¢ | $13.15 | $19 | +$6.69 | 65% 127489-68116 (195605) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 90.2¢ | $11.8 | $13.09 | +$1.29 | 66% 128229-66050 (194279) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $18.19 | $10 | -$8.19 | 64% 26338-14746 (41084) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $8.82 | $9 | +$0.18 | 61% 96902-61144 (158046) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.2¢ | $5.45 | — | -$5.45 | 55% 19147-15688 (34835) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 62% 44774-27776 (72550) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 58% 23189-16618 (39807) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $0.95 | — | -$0.95 | 55% 49855-41346 (91201) |
Invested
$336.85
Value
$406.75
PnL
+$69.9
Record
51%
9050-8602 (17652)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$133.33
Value
$145.58
PnL
+$12.25
Record
49%
79064-82597 (161661)
Invested
$67.66
Value
$46.99
PnL
-$20.67
Record
48%
4975-5358 (10333)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$49.3
Value
$35
PnL
+$8.1
Record
64%
59473-34000 (93473)
Invested
$27.7
Value
$40.2
PnL
+$12.5
Record
51%
10433-9967 (20400)
Invested
$13.15
Value
$19
PnL
+$6.69
Record
65%
127489-68116 (195605)
Invested
$11.8
Value
$13.09
PnL
+$1.29
Record
66%
128229-66050 (194279)
Invested
$18.19
Value
$10
PnL
-$8.19
Record
64%
26338-14746 (41084)
Invested
$8.82
Value
$9
PnL
+$0.18
Record
61%
96902-61144 (158046)
Invested
$5.45
Value
—
PnL
-$5.45
Record
55%
19147-15688 (34835)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
62%
44774-27776 (72550)
Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
58%
23189-16618 (39807)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.95
Value
—
PnL
-$0.95
Record
55%
49855-41346 (91201)