Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Up 76%
2 arb excluded
$2.0K
-$26.37
Smart Money Signal
13 of 17 top traders (76%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 72.6¢ | $688.2 | $661.79 | -$26.41 | 49% 3753-3853 (7606) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $519.14 | $499 | +$2.5 | 54% 4416-3739 (8155) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 51¢ | $254.33 | $499 | +$250.58 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.2¢ | $246.72 | — | -$248.08 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 73.7¢ | $309.19 | $419.5 | +$110.31 | 57% 4084-3020 (7104) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 64.3¢ | $148.38 | $98.34 | -$2.19 | 54% 2814-2386 (5200) |
13 13897651ARB<$100 | Upavg 64.9¢ | $78.72 | $78.71 | -$0.01 | 44% 1442-1799 (3241) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 64.9¢ | $51.06 | $78.71 | +$27.65 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 27.1¢ | $27.66 | — | -$27.66 | |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 85.7¢ | $139.4 | $56.37 | -$25.3 | 51% 2638-2500 (5138) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 92.6¢ | $37.2 | $40.16 | +$2.96 | 50% 1805-1831 (3636) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 43.2¢ | $35.2 | — | -$35.2 | 48% 2635-2900 (5535) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 81.2¢ | $36.75 | $30 | -$6.75 | 70% 1911-827 (2738) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 31.5¢ | $22.26 | — | -$22.26 | 47% 2539-2808 (5347) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $25.5 | $30 | +$4.5 | 52% 1730-1622 (3352) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $25.2 | $30 | +$4.8 | 52% 1741-1612 (3353) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $19.98 | $20 | +$0.02 | 54% 1670-1435 (3105) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $22.11 | $13.35 | -$1.26 | 51% 4994-4725 (9719) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $10.68 | $13.87 | +$3.19 | 44% 2501-3236 (5737) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $5.88 | $6 | +$0.12 | 98% 4700-98 (4798) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $3.7 | $5 | +$1.3 | 60% 4369-2959 (7328) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 21.7¢ | $13.48 | — | -$5.92 | 50% 2955-2954 (5909) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 20.6¢ | $28.28 | — | -$28.28 | 48% 2616-2848 (5464) |
Invested
$688.2
Value
$661.79
PnL
-$26.41
Record
49%
3753-3853 (7606)
Invested
$519.14
Value
$499
PnL
+$2.5
Record
54%
4416-3739 (8155)
Both legs:
Invested
$309.19
Value
$419.5
PnL
+$110.31
Record
57%
4084-3020 (7104)
Invested
$148.38
Value
$98.34
PnL
-$2.19
Record
54%
2814-2386 (5200)
Invested
$78.72
Value
$78.71
PnL
-$0.01
Record
44%
1442-1799 (3241)
Both legs:
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$139.4
Value
$56.37
PnL
-$25.3
Record
51%
2638-2500 (5138)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$37.2
Value
$40.16
PnL
+$2.96
Record
50%
1805-1831 (3636)
Invested
$35.2
Value
—
PnL
-$35.2
Record
48%
2635-2900 (5535)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$36.75
Value
$30
PnL
-$6.75
Record
70%
1911-827 (2738)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$22.26
Value
—
PnL
-$22.26
Record
47%
2539-2808 (5347)
Invested
$25.5
Value
$30
PnL
+$4.5
Record
52%
1730-1622 (3352)
Invested
$25.2
Value
$30
PnL
+$4.8
Record
52%
1741-1612 (3353)
Invested
$19.98
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.02
Record
54%
1670-1435 (3105)
Invested
$22.11
Value
$13.35
PnL
-$1.26
Record
51%
4994-4725 (9719)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$10.68
Value
$13.87
PnL
+$3.19
Record
44%
2501-3236 (5737)
Invested
$5.88
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.12
Record
98%
4700-98 (4798)
Invested
$3.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.3
Record
60%
4369-2959 (7328)
Invested
$13.48
Value
—
PnL
-$5.92
Record
50%
2955-2954 (5909)
Invested
$28.28
Value
—
PnL
-$28.28
Record
48%
2616-2848 (5464)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $661.79
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $419.5
ply-pm2
Up — $98.34
13897651
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $56.37
cryingbabydicer87
Up — $40.16
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown — $0
BoneOhio
Up — $30
ohioism
CTRDown — $0