Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 78%
$1.7K
-$188.85
Smart Money Signal
15 of 19 top traders (79%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 72.9¢ | $685.87 | $624.54 | -$61.33 | 49% 3753-3853 (7606) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 51.9¢ | $552.44 | $493.28 | -$11.28 | 54% 4416-3739 (8155) |
13 13897651CTR | Upavg 38.9¢ | $132.4 | — | -$123.62 | 44% 1442-1799 (3241) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 94¢ | $98.7 | $105 | +$6.3 | 51% 2283-2160 (4443) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 78.4¢ | $97.86 | $88.23 | -$4.39 | 54% 2814-2386 (5200) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 70.8¢ | $58.09 | $82.04 | +$23.95 | 48% 2635-2900 (5535) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 77.9¢ | $143.02 | $71.08 | +$10.98 | 57% 4084-3020 (7104) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $67.5 | $50 | -$17.5 | 70% 1911-827 (2738) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $39 | $50 | +$11 | 44% 2501-3236 (5737) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 48.2¢ | $24.74 | $33.28 | +$8.54 | 47% 2539-2808 (5347) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $29.12 | $30 | +$17.38 | 48% 2616-2848 (5464) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $27.9 | $30 | +$2.1 | 50% 1805-1831 (3636) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $17.1 | $30 | +$12.9 | 52% 1730-1622 (3352) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 63.9¢ | $34.07 | $15 | +$1.05 | 51% 2638-2500 (5138) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.6¢ | $54.54 | — | -$25.41 | 50% 2955-2954 (5909) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $8.64 | $10 | +$1.36 | 36% 1532-2761 (4293) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 15.3¢ | $4.09 | — | +$0.31 | 43% 2221-2992 (5213) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $39 | — | -$39 | 49% 223-233 (456) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 73.4¢ | $36.42 | $0 | -$2.18 | 60% 4369-2959 (7328) |
Invested
$685.87
Value
$624.54
PnL
-$61.33
Record
49%
3753-3853 (7606)
Invested
$552.44
Value
$493.28
PnL
-$11.28
Record
54%
4416-3739 (8155)
Invested
$132.4
Value
—
PnL
-$123.62
Record
44%
1442-1799 (3241)
Invested
$98.7
Value
$105
PnL
+$6.3
Record
51%
2283-2160 (4443)
Invested
$97.86
Value
$88.23
PnL
-$4.39
Record
54%
2814-2386 (5200)
Invested
$58.09
Value
$82.04
PnL
+$23.95
Record
48%
2635-2900 (5535)
Invested
$143.02
Value
$71.08
PnL
+$10.98
Record
57%
4084-3020 (7104)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$67.5
Value
$50
PnL
-$17.5
Record
70%
1911-827 (2738)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$39
Value
$50
PnL
+$11
Record
44%
2501-3236 (5737)
ohioism<$100Invested
$24.74
Value
$33.28
PnL
+$8.54
Record
47%
2539-2808 (5347)
Invested
$29.12
Value
$30
PnL
+$17.38
Record
48%
2616-2848 (5464)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$27.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$2.1
Record
50%
1805-1831 (3636)
Invested
$17.1
Value
$30
PnL
+$12.9
Record
52%
1730-1622 (3352)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$34.07
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.05
Record
51%
2638-2500 (5138)
Invested
$54.54
Value
—
PnL
-$25.41
Record
50%
2955-2954 (5909)
Invested
$8.64
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.36
Record
36%
1532-2761 (4293)
Invested
$4.09
Value
—
PnL
+$0.31
Record
43%
2221-2992 (5213)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$39
Value
—
PnL
-$39
Record
49%
223-233 (456)
Invested
$36.42
Value
$0
PnL
-$2.18
Record
60%
4369-2959 (7328)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $624.54
ByteBadger92
Down — $493.28
13897651
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $105
ply-pm2
Down — $88.23
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $82.04
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $71.08
BoneOhio
Down — $50
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $50
ohioism
Down — $33.28