Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
19
Down 63%
$1.9K
$14.79
Smart Money Signal
12 of 19 top traders (63%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $754.38 | $762 | +$7.62 | 98% 4630-97 (4727) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 51.2Β’ | $516.37 | $502.8 | +$5.88 | 54% 4350-3681 (8031) |
![]() BoneOhio | Downavg 98.3Β’ | $288.34 | $293.19 | +$4.85 | 70% 1877-817 (2694) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 81Β’ | $80.29 | $90.81 | +$10.52 | 49% 2572-2644 (5216) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 69.9Β’ | $55.19 | $72.6 | +$22.41 | 58% 4041-2969 (7010) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 73Β’ | $52.27 | $65.46 | +$19.8 | 60% 4328-2942 (7270) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 59.4Β’ | $30.59 | $29.84 | -$0.75 | 45% 1425-1776 (3201) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 68.4Β’ | $26.5 | $25 | -$1.1 | 51% 2609-2462 (5071) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | $15.9 | β | -$15.9 | 44% 2472-3195 (5667) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 65.6Β’ | $14.06 | $16.87 | +$2.81 | 54% 2777-2356 (5133) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 70Β’ | $10.5 | $15 | +$4.5 | 47% 2506-2778 (5284) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 80Β’ | $10.4 | $13 | +$2.6 | 48% 2582-2816 (5398) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 53.8Β’ | $8.61 | β | -$8.61 | 48% 2606-2865 (5471) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 97Β’ | $5.82 | $6 | +$0.18 | 50% 2915-2911 (5826) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $3 | β | -$3 | 50% 1006-996 (2002) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 58Β’ | $2.9 | β | -$2.9 | 51% 2246-2136 (4382) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 32.3Β’ | $25.39 | β | -$25.39 | 49% 3684-3801 (7485) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.4Β’ | $8.7 | β | -$8.7 | 43% 2188-2930 (5118) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 36% 1518-2714 (4232) |
Invested
$754.38
Value
$762
PnL
+$7.62
Record
98%
4630-97 (4727)
Invested
$516.37
Value
$502.8
PnL
+$5.88
Record
54%
4350-3681 (8031)
BoneOhioInvested
$288.34
Value
$293.19
PnL
+$4.85
Record
70%
1877-817 (2694)
Invested
$80.29
Value
$90.81
PnL
+$10.52
Record
49%
2572-2644 (5216)
Invested
$55.19
Value
$72.6
PnL
+$22.41
Record
58%
4041-2969 (7010)
Invested
$52.27
Value
$65.46
PnL
+$19.8
Record
60%
4328-2942 (7270)
Invested
$30.59
Value
$29.84
PnL
-$0.75
Record
45%
1425-1776 (3201)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$26.5
Value
$25
PnL
-$1.1
Record
51%
2609-2462 (5071)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$15.9
Value
β
PnL
-$15.9
Record
44%
2472-3195 (5667)
Invested
$14.06
Value
$16.87
PnL
+$2.81
Record
54%
2777-2356 (5133)
ohioism<$100Invested
$10.5
Value
$15
PnL
+$4.5
Record
47%
2506-2778 (5284)
Invested
$10.4
Value
$13
PnL
+$2.6
Record
48%
2582-2816 (5398)
Invested
$8.61
Value
β
PnL
-$8.61
Record
48%
2606-2865 (5471)
Invested
$5.82
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.18
Record
50%
2915-2911 (5826)
Invested
$3
Value
β
PnL
-$3
Record
50%
1006-996 (2002)
Invested
$2.9
Value
β
PnL
-$2.9
Record
51%
2246-2136 (4382)
Invested
$25.39
Value
β
PnL
-$25.39
Record
49%
3684-3801 (7485)
Invested
$8.7
Value
β
PnL
-$8.7
Record
43%
2188-2930 (5118)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
36%
1518-2714 (4232)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $762
ByteBadger92
Down β $502.8

BoneOhio
Down β $293.19
uninformedfloww
Down β $90.81
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down β $72.6
aaa221
Down β $65.46
13897651
Down β $29.84

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $25

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0
ply-pm2
Down β $16.87