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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

15

Down 47%

Total Value

$1.8K

Combined PnL

-$18.9

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 15 top traders (47%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$1.8K

Total Shares1,818

Combined PnL+$81.1

Up8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares537

Combined PnL-$100.01

Down — 47%Up — 53%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$741.51	$749	+$7.49	98% 4630-97 (4727)
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.8¢	$511.05	$499.01	-$0.19	54% 4350-3681 (8031)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 80¢	$411.31	$474.24	+$72.33	49% 3684-3801 (7485)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 74.7¢	$70.05	$50	+$0.78	54% 2777-2356 (5133)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 91.8¢	$34.74	$30	-$4.74	51% 2609-2462 (5071)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Upavg 41.7¢	$12.5	—	-$12.5	50% 1006-996 (2002)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 38¢	$11.4	—	-$11.4	48% 2606-2865 (5471)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 81¢	$4.86	$6	+$1.14	48% 2582-2816 (5398)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 57¢	$5.7	$10	+$4.3	51% 2246-2136 (4382)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 37¢	$4.4	—	-$4.4	44% 2472-3195 (5667)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 19¢	$1.14	—	-$1.14	43% 2188-2930 (5118)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 20¢	$1.25	—	-$1.25	50% 2915-2911 (5826)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Upavg 15.3¢	$60.87	—	-$60.87	58% 4041-2969 (7010)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	36% 1518-2714 (4232)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Upavg 16¢	$8.4	—	-$8.4	45% 1425-1776 (3201)

Invested

$741.51

Value

$749

PnL

+$7.49

Record

98%

4630-97 (4727)

Invested

$511.05

Value

$499.01

PnL

-$0.19

Record

54%

4350-3681 (8031)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$411.31

Value

$474.24

PnL

+$72.33

Record

49%

3684-3801 (7485)

Invested

$70.05

Value

$50

PnL

+$0.78

Record

54%

2777-2356 (5133)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$34.74

Value

$30

PnL

-$4.74

Record

51%

2609-2462 (5071)

Invested

$12.5

Value

—

PnL

-$12.5

Record

50%

1006-996 (2002)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$11.4

Value

—

PnL

-$11.4

Record

48%

2606-2865 (5471)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$4.86

Value

$6

PnL

+$1.14

Record

48%

2582-2816 (5398)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$5.7

Value

$10

PnL

+$4.3

Record

51%

2246-2136 (4382)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$4.4

Value

—

PnL

-$4.4

Record

44%

2472-3195 (5667)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$1.14

Value

—

PnL

-$1.14

Record

43%

2188-2930 (5118)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.25

Value

—

PnL

-$1.25

Record

50%

2915-2911 (5826)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$60.87

Value

—

PnL

-$60.87

Record

58%

4041-2969 (7010)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

36%

1518-2714 (4232)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$8.4

Value

—

PnL

-$8.4

Record

45%

1425-1776 (3201)

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 15 top traders (47%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd398af4b...d803bd

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1794775500

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Down — $749

ByteBadger92

Down — $499.01

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $474.24

ply-pm2

Down — $50

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $30

PBot-6

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $6

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $10

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

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