Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
20
Up 60%
$2.6K
-$464
Smart Money Signal
12 of 20 top traders (60%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 90.8Β’ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$38.71 | 49% 3684-3801 (7485) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9Β’ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$11.57 | 98% 4630-97 (4727) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.3Β’ | $511.23 | β | -$489.64 | 54% 4350-3681 (8031) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 93.9Β’ | $88.35 | $64 | -$15.09 | 51% 2609-2462 (5071) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 97.6Β’ | $43.39 | $43.32 | -$0.07 | 50% 2915-2911 (5826) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 98.5Β’ | $32.25 | $30 | -$2.25 | 52% 1710-1607 (3317) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 98.5Β’ | $32.22 | $30 | -$2.22 | 51% 4973-4711 (9684) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 99.8Β’ | $29.94 | $30 | +$0.06 | 52% 1724-1594 (3318) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 87.8Β’ | $39.94 | $29 | +$2.77 | 54% 2777-2356 (5133) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 87.6Β’ | $22.16 | $25.11 | +$2.95 | 70% 1877-817 (2694) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 46.5Β’ | $9.3 | $20 | +$10.7 | 50% 1006-996 (2002) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 40Β’ | $10.62 | $18 | +$7.38 | 58% 4041-2969 (7010) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.1Β’ | $19.49 | β | -$10.07 | 43% 2188-2930 (5118) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 82.2Β’ | $20.84 | $11.92 | -$6.8 | 45% 1425-1776 (3201) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.2Β’ | $3.33 | β | -$3.33 | 47% 2506-2778 (5284) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 5.6Β’ | $4.33 | β | -$4.33 | 48% 2606-2865 (5471) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 5Β’ | $2.25 | β | -$2.25 | 48% 2582-2816 (5398) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 5Β’ | $1.05 | β | -$1.05 | 44% 2472-3195 (5667) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 36% 1518-2714 (4232) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $1 | β | -$1 | 51% 2246-2136 (4382) |
Invested
$1,160.3
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$38.71
Record
49%
3684-3801 (7485)
Invested
$1,071.43
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$11.57
Record
98%
4630-97 (4727)
Invested
$511.23
Value
β
PnL
-$489.64
Record
54%
4350-3681 (8031)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$88.35
Value
$64
PnL
-$15.09
Record
51%
2609-2462 (5071)
Invested
$43.39
Value
$43.32
PnL
-$0.07
Record
50%
2915-2911 (5826)
Invested
$32.25
Value
$30
PnL
-$2.25
Record
52%
1710-1607 (3317)
Invested
$32.22
Value
$30
PnL
-$2.22
Record
51%
4973-4711 (9684)
Invested
$29.94
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.06
Record
52%
1724-1594 (3318)
Invested
$39.94
Value
$29
PnL
+$2.77
Record
54%
2777-2356 (5133)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$22.16
Value
$25.11
PnL
+$2.95
Record
70%
1877-817 (2694)
Invested
$9.3
Value
$20
PnL
+$10.7
Record
50%
1006-996 (2002)
Invested
$10.62
Value
$18
PnL
+$7.38
Record
58%
4041-2969 (7010)
Invested
$19.49
Value
β
PnL
-$10.07
Record
43%
2188-2930 (5118)
Invested
$20.84
Value
$11.92
PnL
-$6.8
Record
45%
1425-1776 (3201)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.33
Value
β
PnL
-$3.33
Record
47%
2506-2778 (5284)
Invested
$4.33
Value
β
PnL
-$4.33
Record
48%
2606-2865 (5471)
Invested
$2.25
Value
β
PnL
-$2.25
Record
48%
2582-2816 (5398)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
β
PnL
-$1.05
Record
44%
2472-3195 (5667)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
36%
1518-2714 (4232)
Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$1
Record
51%
2246-2136 (4382)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $1.2K
hoodquant
Up β $1.1K
ByteBadger92
CTRDown β $0

Polkadot-Frog
Up β $64
dvasdkasodk
Up β $43.32
almach
Up β $30
bosona
Up β $30
mo-money
Up β $30
ply-pm2
Up β $29

BoneOhio
Up β $25.11