Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 32% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
22
Down 29%
$511.63
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
7 of 22 top traders (32%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 48.9¢ | $523.46 | — | -$493.06 | 54% 4282-3627 (7909) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Downavg 65.5¢ | $575.38 | — | -$525.85 | 49% 3651-3756 (7407) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 54.8¢ | $88.32 | $84 | -$0.24 | 45% 1410-1758 (3168) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 34.7¢ | $41.49 | $88 | +$46.51 | 48% 2576-2827 (5403) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 48.2¢ | $67.14 | — | -$62.07 | 51% 2574-2433 (5007) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 68.8¢ | $49.95 | $72.57 | +$22.62 | 49% 2537-2616 (5153) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $66.72 | $45 | -$21.72 | 98% 4560-95 (4655) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 32.5¢ | $18.9 | $30 | +$11.1 | 47% 2471-2739 (5210) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 54.9¢ | $74.64 | $23.5 | +$7.74 | 54% 2739-2328 (5067) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $15.04 | $16.81 | +$1.77 | 50% 2877-2870 (5747) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $14.25 | $15.16 | +$0.91 | 50% 1774-1809 (3583) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $4.03 | $15 | +$10.97 | 43% 2435-3165 (5600) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 41.9¢ | $15.25 | $36.36 | +$21.11 | 51% 1687-1592 (3279) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $13.2 | $30 | +$16.8 | 51% 4946-4701 (9647) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $12.9 | $30 | +$17.1 | 52% 1704-1576 (3280) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $6.78 | — | -$6.78 | 51% 2213-2109 (4322) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $5.93 | $9.43 | +$3.5 | 50% 986-979 (1965) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 52.2¢ | $5.74 | $5.78 | +$3.6 | 42% 2132-2886 (5018) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.1 | $10 | +$9.9 | 36% 1504-2673 (4177) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $13.05 | — | -$13.05 | 48% 2553-2774 (5327) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Downavg 62.4¢ | $249.42 | — | -$249.42 | 58% 4023-2943 (6966) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 71.2¢ | $25.36 | — | -$5.42 | 60% 4284-2912 (7196) |
Invested
$523.46
Value
—
PnL
-$493.06
Record
54%
4282-3627 (7909)
Invested
$575.38
Value
—
PnL
-$525.85
Record
49%
3651-3756 (7407)
Invested
$88.32
Value
$84
PnL
-$0.24
Record
45%
1410-1758 (3168)
Invested
$41.49
Value
$88
PnL
+$46.51
Record
48%
2576-2827 (5403)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$67.14
Value
—
PnL
-$62.07
Record
51%
2574-2433 (5007)
Invested
$49.95
Value
$72.57
PnL
+$22.62
Record
49%
2537-2616 (5153)
Invested
$66.72
Value
$45
PnL
-$21.72
Record
98%
4560-95 (4655)
ohioism<$100Invested
$18.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$11.1
Record
47%
2471-2739 (5210)
Invested
$74.64
Value
$23.5
PnL
+$7.74
Record
54%
2739-2328 (5067)
Invested
$15.04
Value
$16.81
PnL
+$1.77
Record
50%
2877-2870 (5747)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$14.25
Value
$15.16
PnL
+$0.91
Record
50%
1774-1809 (3583)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$4.03
Value
$15
PnL
+$10.97
Record
43%
2435-3165 (5600)
Invested
$15.25
Value
$36.36
PnL
+$21.11
Record
51%
1687-1592 (3279)
Invested
$13.2
Value
$30
PnL
+$16.8
Record
51%
4946-4701 (9647)
Invested
$12.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$17.1
Record
52%
1704-1576 (3280)
Invested
$6.78
Value
—
PnL
-$6.78
Record
51%
2213-2109 (4322)
Invested
$5.93
Value
$9.43
PnL
+$3.5
Record
50%
986-979 (1965)
Invested
$5.74
Value
$5.78
PnL
+$3.6
Record
42%
2132-2886 (5018)
Invested
$0.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$9.9
Record
36%
1504-2673 (4177)
Invested
$13.05
Value
—
PnL
-$13.05
Record
48%
2553-2774 (5327)
Invested
$249.42
Value
—
PnL
-$249.42
Record
58%
4023-2943 (6966)
Invested
$25.36
Value
—
PnL
-$5.42
Record
60%
4284-2912 (7196)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0
13897651
Up — $84
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $88
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
Up — $72.57
hoodquant
Up — $45
ohioism
Up — $30
ply-pm2
Up — $23.5
dvasdkasodk
Up — $16.81