Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Up 67%
1 arb excluded
$1.2K
-$9.33
Smart Money Signal
10 of 15 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.2¢ | $503.65 | $505 | +$4.55 | 54% 4282-3627 (7909) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.2¢ | $253.65 | $505 | +$251.35 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $245 | — | -$246.8 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 97.5¢ | $421.31 | $402.54 | -$18.77 | 49% 3651-3756 (7407) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 66.2¢ | $64.81 | $97.9 | +$33.09 | 58% 4023-2943 (6966) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $69.55 | $70.25 | +$0.7 | 98% 4560-95 (4655) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $42.01 | $37.17 | -$4.84 | 45% 1410-1758 (3168) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $14.72 | $15 | +$0.28 | 51% 2574-2433 (5007) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $21.06 | $10 | +$1.74 | 54% 2739-2328 (5067) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 32.2¢ | $10.43 | — | -$10.43 | 48% 2576-2827 (5403) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 99.5¢ | $10.22 | $9 | -$1.21 | 51% 4946-4701 (9647) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 96.3¢ | $22.16 | $6 | +$3.07 | 42% 2132-2886 (5018) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $4.75 | $5.28 | +$0.53 | 50% 2877-2870 (5747) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $4.3 | $5 | +$0.7 | 43% 2435-3165 (5600) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $4.94 | — | -$4.94 | 47% 2471-2739 (5210) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $3.18 | — | -$3.18 | 51% 2213-2109 (4322) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $0.96 | — | -$0.96 | 50% 986-979 (1965) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $5.1 | — | -$5.1 | 48% 2553-2774 (5327) |
Invested
$503.65
Value
$505
PnL
+$4.55
Record
54%
4282-3627 (7909)
Both legs:
Invested
$421.31
Value
$402.54
PnL
-$18.77
Record
49%
3651-3756 (7407)
Invested
$64.81
Value
$97.9
PnL
+$33.09
Record
58%
4023-2943 (6966)
Invested
$69.55
Value
$70.25
PnL
+$0.7
Record
98%
4560-95 (4655)
Invested
$42.01
Value
$37.17
PnL
-$4.84
Record
45%
1410-1758 (3168)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$14.72
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.28
Record
51%
2574-2433 (5007)
Invested
$21.06
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.74
Record
54%
2739-2328 (5067)
Invested
$10.43
Value
—
PnL
-$10.43
Record
48%
2576-2827 (5403)
Invested
$10.22
Value
$9
PnL
-$1.21
Record
51%
4946-4701 (9647)
Invested
$22.16
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.07
Record
42%
2132-2886 (5018)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$5.28
PnL
+$0.53
Record
50%
2877-2870 (5747)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.7
Record
43%
2435-3165 (5600)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.94
Value
—
PnL
-$4.94
Record
47%
2471-2739 (5210)
Invested
$3.18
Value
—
PnL
-$3.18
Record
51%
2213-2109 (4322)
Invested
$0.96
Value
—
PnL
-$0.96
Record
50%
986-979 (1965)
Invested
$5.1
Value
—
PnL
-$5.1
Record
48%
2553-2774 (5327)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $402.54
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $97.9
hoodquant
Up — $70.25
13897651
Up — $37.17
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $15
ply-pm2
Up — $10
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown — $0
bosona
Up — $9
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $6