Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Up 56%
2 arb excluded
$2.5K
$251.2
Smart Money Signal
9 of 16 top traders (56%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 63.7¢ | $926.23 | $736.85 | -$189.38 | 49% 3651-3756 (7407) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 63.7¢ | $583.46 | — | -$583.46 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 46.5¢ | $342.77 | $736.85 | +$394.08 | |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 26.6¢ | $161.71 | $607.56 | +$445.85 | 42% 2132-2886 (5018) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $525.31 | $500 | +$1.3 | 54% 4282-3627 (7909) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.8¢ | $254.04 | — | -$247.8 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.2¢ | $246.18 | $500 | +$249.1 | |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 52.3¢ | $235.77 | — | -$208.09 | 54% 2739-2328 (5067) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 97.5¢ | $178.54 | $183.08 | +$4.54 | 98% 4560-95 (4655) |
 wowitsamazing | Upavg 57.3¢ | $92.68 | $161.8 | +$69.12 | 49% 219-226 (445) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 41.8¢ | $57.31 | $137.1 | +$79.79 | 49% 2537-2616 (5153) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 34.7¢ | $75.03 | — | -$48.13 | 45% 1410-1758 (3168) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 34.8¢ | $17.4 | $50 | +$32.6 | 47% 2471-2739 (5210) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 50.1¢ | $11.52 | $23 | +$11.48 | 48% 2553-2774 (5327) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $13.5 | $30 | +$16.5 | 43% 2435-3165 (5600) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $16.85 | — | -$12.25 | 51% 2574-2433 (5007) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $29.6 | — | -$16.9 | 60% 4284-2912 (7196) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 43.5¢ | $8.7 | $20 | +$11.3 | 50% 986-979 (1965) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $3.36 | — | -$3.36 | 51% 2213-2109 (4322) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.2 | $7.06 | +$5.86 | 50% 2877-2870 (5747) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $1.86 | — | -$1.86 | 46% 3336-3878 (7214) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Downavg 70.1¢ | $181.26 | — | -$135.26 | 58% 4023-2943 (6966) |
Invested
$926.23
Value
$736.85
PnL
-$189.38
Record
49%
3651-3756 (7407)
Both legs:
Invested
$161.71
Value
$607.56
PnL
+$445.85
Record
42%
2132-2886 (5018)
Invested
$525.31
Value
$500
PnL
+$1.3
Record
54%
4282-3627 (7909)
Both legs:
Invested
$235.77
Value
—
PnL
-$208.09
Record
54%
2739-2328 (5067)
Invested
$178.54
Value
$183.08
PnL
+$4.54
Record
98%
4560-95 (4655)
wowitsamazingInvested
$92.68
Value
$161.8
PnL
+$69.12
Record
49%
219-226 (445)
Invested
$57.31
Value
$137.1
PnL
+$79.79
Record
49%
2537-2616 (5153)
Invested
$75.03
Value
—
PnL
-$48.13
Record
45%
1410-1758 (3168)
ohioism<$100Invested
$17.4
Value
$50
PnL
+$32.6
Record
47%
2471-2739 (5210)
Invested
$11.52
Value
$23
PnL
+$11.48
Record
48%
2553-2774 (5327)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$13.5
Value
$30
PnL
+$16.5
Record
43%
2435-3165 (5600)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$16.85
Value
—
PnL
-$12.25
Record
51%
2574-2433 (5007)
Invested
$29.6
Value
—
PnL
-$16.9
Record
60%
4284-2912 (7196)
Invested
$8.7
Value
$20
PnL
+$11.3
Record
50%
986-979 (1965)
Invested
$3.36
Value
—
PnL
-$3.36
Record
51%
2213-2109 (4322)
Invested
$1.2
Value
$7.06
PnL
+$5.86
Record
50%
2877-2870 (5747)
Invested
$1.86
Value
—
PnL
-$1.86
Record
46%
3336-3878 (7214)
Invested
$181.26
Value
—
PnL
-$135.26
Record
58%
4023-2943 (6966)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $607.56
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $183.08
wowitsamazing
Up — $161.8
uninformedfloww
Up — $137.1
13897651
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
Up — $50
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $23