Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Up 73%
1 arb excluded
$1.5K
-$17.18
Smart Money Signal
11 of 15 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.1¢ | $505.78 | $500 | +$5.8 | 54% 4250-3596 (7846) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 79.4¢ | $487.06 | $441.73 | -$36.33 | 49% 3629-3731 (7360) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 88.4¢ | $203.98 | $212.59 | +$12.91 | 58% 4015-2933 (6948) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 97.3¢ | $180.96 | $186 | +$5.04 | 98% 4530-94 (4624) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Downavg 19.9¢ | $137.5 | $38 | -$99.5 | 49% 2514-2591 (5105) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 19.9¢ | $107.1 | — | -$107.1 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 80¢ | $30.4 | $38 | +$7.6 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 82.2¢ | $85.7 | $45 | +$3.43 | 54% 2727-2307 (5034) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.9¢ | $17.75 | — | -$17.75 | 43% 2420-3146 (5566) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $29.27 | $15 | +$0.73 | 51% 2557-2416 (4973) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 48.5¢ | $9.7 | $20 | +$10.3 | 50% 977-973 (1950) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $3.54 | $6 | +$2.46 | 42% 2109-2870 (4979) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $2.8 | $5.6 | +$2.8 | 46% 3313-3856 (7169) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $2.55 | $5 | +$2.45 | 48% 1505-1632 (3137) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $3 | $5 | +$2 | 51% 2193-2101 (4294) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 50% 2856-2850 (5706) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 27.3¢ | $7.64 | — | -$7.64 | 44% 1400-1752 (3152) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 17.9¢ | $2.03 | — | -$2.03 | 48% 2538-2754 (5292) |
Invested
$505.78
Value
$500
PnL
+$5.8
Record
54%
4250-3596 (7846)
Invested
$487.06
Value
$441.73
PnL
-$36.33
Record
49%
3629-3731 (7360)
Invested
$203.98
Value
$212.59
PnL
+$12.91
Record
58%
4015-2933 (6948)
Invested
$180.96
Value
$186
PnL
+$5.04
Record
98%
4530-94 (4624)
Invested
$137.5
Value
$38
PnL
-$99.5
Record
49%
2514-2591 (5105)
Both legs:
Invested
$85.7
Value
$45
PnL
+$3.43
Record
54%
2727-2307 (5034)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$17.75
Value
—
PnL
-$17.75
Record
43%
2420-3146 (5566)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$29.27
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.73
Record
51%
2557-2416 (4973)
Invested
$9.7
Value
$20
PnL
+$10.3
Record
50%
977-973 (1950)
Invested
$3.54
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.46
Record
42%
2109-2870 (4979)
Invested
$2.8
Value
$5.6
PnL
+$2.8
Record
46%
3313-3856 (7169)
Invested
$2.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.45
Record
48%
1505-1632 (3137)
Invested
$3
Value
$5
PnL
+$2
Record
51%
2193-2101 (4294)
Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
50%
2856-2850 (5706)
Invested
$7.64
Value
—
PnL
-$7.64
Record
44%
1400-1752 (3152)
Invested
$2.03
Value
—
PnL
-$2.03
Record
48%
2538-2754 (5292)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $441.73
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $212.59
hoodquant
Up — $186
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Up — $45
G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $15
PBot-6
Up — $20
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $6