Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Up 65%
1 arb excluded
$2.8K
$282.37
Smart Money Signal
13 of 20 top traders (65%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 63.3¢ | $804.21 | $888.46 | +$100.4 | 49% 3629-3731 (7360) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 29.5¢ | $180.44 | $612 | +$431.56 | 42% 2109-2870 (4979) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.4¢ | $523.95 | $495.03 | -$4.64 | 54% 4250-3596 (7846) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.4¢ | $251.8 | — | -$251.8 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.5¢ | $249.79 | $495.03 | +$247.16 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 91.6¢ | $281.22 | $231.52 | -$0.39 | 58% 4015-2933 (6948) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $154.89 | $156.45 | +$1.56 | 98% 4530-94 (4624) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 40.6¢ | $325.53 | — | -$262.26 | 49% 2514-2591 (5105) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 68.8¢ | $104.82 | $103.04 | -$1.78 | 54% 2727-2307 (5034) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 41.2¢ | $67.01 | $91 | +$23.99 | 44% 1400-1752 (3152) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 61.1¢ | $43.47 | $50 | +$6.53 | 43% 2420-3146 (5566) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 63.3¢ | $29.4 | $35 | +$5.6 | 48% 2561-2807 (5368) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $16.1 | — | -$16.1 | 48% 1505-1632 (3137) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $18.9 | $35 | +$16.1 | 51% 2193-2101 (4294) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 69.2¢ | $56 | $15 | -$10.65 | 51% 2557-2416 (4973) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 70.1¢ | $44.12 | $15.65 | -$1 | 60% 4264-2896 (7160) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 43.5¢ | $8.7 | $20 | +$11.3 | 48% 2538-2754 (5292) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $6.84 | $9 | +$2.16 | 47% 2455-2714 (5169) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.3¢ | $3.26 | — | -$3.26 | 51% 4926-4695 (9621) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $2.56 | — | -$2.56 | 51% 1669-1583 (3252) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 13.7¢ | $3.07 | — | -$3.07 | 52% 1680-1572 (3252) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 44.7¢ | $7.62 | — | -$3.27 | 50% 2856-2850 (5706) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $12.5 | — | -$12.5 | 70% 1846-795 (2641) |
Invested
$804.21
Value
$888.46
PnL
+$100.4
Record
49%
3629-3731 (7360)
Invested
$180.44
Value
$612
PnL
+$431.56
Record
42%
2109-2870 (4979)
Invested
$523.95
Value
$495.03
PnL
-$4.64
Record
54%
4250-3596 (7846)
Both legs:
Invested
$281.22
Value
$231.52
PnL
-$0.39
Record
58%
4015-2933 (6948)
Invested
$154.89
Value
$156.45
PnL
+$1.56
Record
98%
4530-94 (4624)
Invested
$325.53
Value
—
PnL
-$262.26
Record
49%
2514-2591 (5105)
Invested
$104.82
Value
$103.04
PnL
-$1.78
Record
54%
2727-2307 (5034)
Invested
$67.01
Value
$91
PnL
+$23.99
Record
44%
1400-1752 (3152)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$43.47
Value
$50
PnL
+$6.53
Record
43%
2420-3146 (5566)
Invested
$29.4
Value
$35
PnL
+$5.6
Record
48%
2561-2807 (5368)
Invested
$16.1
Value
—
PnL
-$16.1
Record
48%
1505-1632 (3137)
Invested
$18.9
Value
$35
PnL
+$16.1
Record
51%
2193-2101 (4294)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$56
Value
$15
PnL
-$10.65
Record
51%
2557-2416 (4973)
Invested
$44.12
Value
$15.65
PnL
-$1
Record
60%
4264-2896 (7160)
Invested
$8.7
Value
$20
PnL
+$11.3
Record
48%
2538-2754 (5292)
ohioism<$100Invested
$6.84
Value
$9
PnL
+$2.16
Record
47%
2455-2714 (5169)
Invested
$3.26
Value
—
PnL
-$3.26
Record
51%
4926-4695 (9621)
Invested
$2.56
Value
—
PnL
-$2.56
Record
51%
1669-1583 (3252)
Invested
$3.07
Value
—
PnL
-$3.07
Record
52%
1680-1572 (3252)
Invested
$7.62
Value
—
PnL
-$3.27
Record
50%
2856-2850 (5706)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$12.5
Value
—
PnL
-$12.5
Record
70%
1846-795 (2641)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $888.46
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $612
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $231.52
hoodquant
Up — $156.45
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
Up — $103.04
13897651
Up — $91
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $50
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $35