Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 56%
$1.4K
-$79.3
Smart Money Signal
10 of 18 top traders (56%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 51.3¢ | $526.58 | $500 | +$0 | 54% 4218-3562 (7780) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 81.1¢ | $324.36 | $400 | +$75.64 | 58% 4006-2920 (6926) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 79.9¢ | $346.58 | $308.97 | -$37.61 | 49% 3629-3730 (7359) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 79.1¢ | $55.59 | $53.76 | -$1.83 | 51% 2540-2400 (4940) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $28.24 | $45.66 | +$17.42 | 44% 1390-1746 (3136) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 60.9¢ | $55.25 | $34.77 | -$2.45 | 54% 2708-2292 (5000) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $37.51 | $33.35 | -$4.16 | 51% 4911-4688 (9599) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $39.43 | $32.03 | -$7.4 | 52% 1673-1561 (3234) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $39.27 | $30 | -$9.27 | 51% 1661-1571 (3232) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $28.04 | — | -$28.04 | 46% 3282-3819 (7101) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 59.5¢ | $17.85 | — | -$17.85 | 48% 1498-1615 (3113) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 60.2¢ | $12.65 | — | -$12.65 | 51% 2181-2090 (4271) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $7.2 | — | -$7.2 | 44% 2407-3121 (5528) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 87.4¢ | $14.86 | $6 | +$6.67 | 42% 2086-2846 (4932) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $3.36 | — | -$3.36 | 48% 2440-2688 (5128) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 8.9¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 48% 2518-2730 (5248) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.4¢ | $43.52 | — | -$43.52 | 49% 2495-2563 (5058) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.7¢ | $2.34 | — | -$2.34 | 50% 2835-2829 (5664) |
Invested
$526.58
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
4218-3562 (7780)
Invested
$324.36
Value
$400
PnL
+$75.64
Record
58%
4006-2920 (6926)
Invested
$346.58
Value
$308.97
PnL
-$37.61
Record
49%
3629-3730 (7359)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$55.59
Value
$53.76
PnL
-$1.83
Record
51%
2540-2400 (4940)
Invested
$28.24
Value
$45.66
PnL
+$17.42
Record
44%
1390-1746 (3136)
Invested
$55.25
Value
$34.77
PnL
-$2.45
Record
54%
2708-2292 (5000)
Invested
$37.51
Value
$33.35
PnL
-$4.16
Record
51%
4911-4688 (9599)
Invested
$39.43
Value
$32.03
PnL
-$7.4
Record
52%
1673-1561 (3234)
Invested
$39.27
Value
$30
PnL
-$9.27
Record
51%
1661-1571 (3232)
Invested
$28.04
Value
—
PnL
-$28.04
Record
46%
3282-3819 (7101)
Invested
$17.85
Value
—
PnL
-$17.85
Record
48%
1498-1615 (3113)
Invested
$12.65
Value
—
PnL
-$12.65
Record
51%
2181-2090 (4271)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$7.2
Value
—
PnL
-$7.2
Record
44%
2407-3121 (5528)
Invested
$14.86
Value
$6
PnL
+$6.67
Record
42%
2086-2846 (4932)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.36
Value
—
PnL
-$3.36
Record
48%
2440-2688 (5128)
Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
48%
2518-2730 (5248)
Invested
$43.52
Value
—
PnL
-$43.52
Record
49%
2495-2563 (5058)
Invested
$2.34
Value
—
PnL
-$2.34
Record
50%
2835-2829 (5664)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Down — $500
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $400
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $308.97
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $53.76
13897651
Down — $45.66
ply-pm2
Down — $34.77
bosona
Down — $33.35
mo-money
Down — $32.03
almach
Down — $30
suntori
CTRUp — $0