Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 40%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.2K

Combined PnL

$-1.7K

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 20 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,549

Combined PnL$-2.2K

Up12 traders

Total Value$1.6K

Total Shares1,557

Combined PnL+$474.58

Down — 40%Up — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Downavg 50.4¢	$910.73	—	-$910.73	49% 3629-3730 (7359)
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 50.1¢	$508.15	—	-$501.55	54% 4218-3562 (7780)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR	Downavg 49¢	$196.12	—	-$196.12	58% 4006-2920 (6926)
HO hoodquantCTR	Downavg 99¢	$303.93	—	-$303.93	98% 4498-92 (4590)
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100	Upavg 64¢	$455.35	$671.83	+$234.93	49% 2495-2563 (5058)
└ Up leg	Upavg 64¢	$430.15	$671.83	+$241.68
└ Down leg	Downavg 36¢	$17.1	—	-$6.75
13 13897651CTR	Downavg 47.3¢	$102.09	—	-$102.09	44% 1390-1746 (3136)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 77¢	$471.08	$612	+$140.92	42% 2086-2846 (4932)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.8¢	$475.96	$476.74	+$0.78	53% 1595-1405 (3000)
Polkadot-FrogCTR	Downavg 70.7¢	$133	—	-$109.99	51% 2540-2400 (4940)
PL ply-pm2CTR	Downavg 68.9¢	$139.28	—	-$75.38	54% 2708-2292 (5000)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 32.5¢	$28.93	—	-$10.42	60% 4239-2880 (7119)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 28.2¢	$17.56	$39.02	+$21.46	44% 2407-3121 (5528)
DV dvasdkasodk	Upavg 1¢	$1.2	$120	+$118.8	50% 2835-2829 (5664)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 32.3¢	$33.11	$90.56	+$62.95	48% 2518-2730 (5248)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 12.9¢	$7.24	$56	+$48.76	48% 2440-2688 (5128)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 49.6¢	$27.51	$55.43	+$27.92	48% 2544-2786 (5330)
BO bosona<$100	Upavg 25.4¢	$9.37	$36.93	+$27.56	51% 4911-4688 (9599)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 63.5¢	$17.77	$28	+$10.23	48% 1498-1615 (3113)
AL almach<$100	Upavg 70¢	$12.6	$18	+$5.4	51% 1661-1571 (3232)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 70.7¢	$10.6	$15	+$4.4	49% 1742-1781 (3523)
MO mo-money<$100	Upavg 43.1¢	$4.09	$9.49	+$5.4	52% 1673-1561 (3234)