Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Up 67%
2 arb excluded
$1.8K
$42.24
Smart Money Signal
10 of 15 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $522.72 | $528 | +$5.28 | 98% 4434-91 (4525) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.6¢ | $537.19 | $498.37 | -$6.87 | 54% 4162-3504 (7666) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.6¢ | $251.96 | $498.37 | +$246.88 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 48.5¢ | $249.83 | — | -$253.75 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $502.75 | $378.27 | -$124.48 | 49% 3600-3701 (7301) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 63¢ | $238.25 | $378.27 | +$140.02 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.8¢ | $264.5 | — | -$264.5 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 51.3¢ | $247.21 | $67.52 | +$184.62 | 58% 3986-2906 (6892) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 50.2¢ | $40.3 | $60 | +$19.7 | 48% 2509-2762 (5271) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 56.5¢ | $46.45 | $60.74 | +$14.28 | 44% 1373-1733 (3106) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 59.2¢ | $35.26 | $30.7 | -$4.56 | 51% 1638-1554 (3192) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $22.05 | $35.56 | +$13.51 | 48% 2407-2652 (5059) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $30.64 | $30 | -$0.64 | 51% 4890-4670 (9560) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.5¢ | $28.4 | — | -$28.4 | 48% 2484-2691 (5175) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 88.5¢ | $237.57 | $20 | +$4.45 | 54% 2675-2263 (4938) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $16.33 | $30.8 | +$14.48 | 51% 2151-2062 (4213) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 61.2¢ | $39.76 | $11.46 | +$1.7 | 52% 1650-1545 (3195) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $83.18 | — | -$30.2 | 60% 4192-2848 (7040) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $2.87 | — | -$2.87 | 50% 2795-2794 (5589) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 27.3¢ | $142.06 | — | -$142.06 | 49% 2456-2514 (4970) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $7.05 | — | -$7.05 | 51% 2506-2369 (4875) |
Invested
$522.72
Value
$528
PnL
+$5.28
Record
98%
4434-91 (4525)
Invested
$537.19
Value
$498.37
PnL
-$6.87
Record
54%
4162-3504 (7666)
Both legs:
Invested
$502.75
Value
$378.27
PnL
-$124.48
Record
49%
3600-3701 (7301)
Both legs:
Invested
$247.21
Value
$67.52
PnL
+$184.62
Record
58%
3986-2906 (6892)
Invested
$40.3
Value
$60
PnL
+$19.7
Record
48%
2509-2762 (5271)
Invested
$46.45
Value
$60.74
PnL
+$14.28
Record
44%
1373-1733 (3106)
Invested
$35.26
Value
$30.7
PnL
-$4.56
Record
51%
1638-1554 (3192)
ohioism<$100Invested
$22.05
Value
$35.56
PnL
+$13.51
Record
48%
2407-2652 (5059)
Invested
$30.64
Value
$30
PnL
-$0.64
Record
51%
4890-4670 (9560)
Invested
$28.4
Value
—
PnL
-$28.4
Record
48%
2484-2691 (5175)
Invested
$237.57
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.45
Record
54%
2675-2263 (4938)
Invested
$16.33
Value
$30.8
PnL
+$14.48
Record
51%
2151-2062 (4213)
Invested
$39.76
Value
$11.46
PnL
+$1.7
Record
52%
1650-1545 (3195)
Invested
$83.18
Value
—
PnL
-$30.2
Record
60%
4192-2848 (7040)
Invested
$2.87
Value
—
PnL
-$2.87
Record
50%
2795-2794 (5589)
Invested
$142.06
Value
—
PnL
-$142.06
Record
49%
2456-2514 (4970)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$7.05
Value
—
PnL
-$7.05
Record
51%
2506-2369 (4875)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $528
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $67.52
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $60
13897651
Up — $60.74
almach
Up — $30.7
ohioism
Up — $35.56
bosona
Up — $30
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0