Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 63%
1 arb excluded
$3.6K
$6.69
Smart Money Signal
12 of 19 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 60.8¢ | $1.5K | $1.7K | +$155.29 | 49% 3600-3701 (7301) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 52.7¢ | $552.7 | $495.14 | +$2.18 | 54% 4162-3504 (7666) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 67¢ | $587.34 | $429.8 | -$128 | 49% 2456-2514 (4970) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 68.7¢ | $274.6 | $399.92 | +$125.32 | 58% 3986-2906 (6892) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 71.7¢ | $277.25 | $276.07 | -$1.18 | 54% 2675-2263 (4938) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 35.8¢ | $80.48 | — | -$80.48 | 44% 1373-1733 (3106) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $39 | $60 | +$21 | 51% 4890-4670 (9560) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $39 | $59.99 | +$21 | 51% 1638-1554 (3192) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530ARB<$100 | Upavg 27.3¢ | $28.13 | $50 | +$21.87 | 48% 2484-2691 (5175) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 27.3¢ | $17.75 | — | -$17.75 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 20.8¢ | $10.38 | $50 | +$39.62 | |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 62.7¢ | $35.94 | $53.88 | +$17.94 | 52% 1650-1545 (3195) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 56.2¢ | $48.43 | $50 | +$12.3 | 51% 2506-2369 (4875) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 64.3¢ | $42.35 | $45 | +$6.1 | 48% 2509-2762 (5271) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 70.4¢ | $49.55 | $41.65 | -$0.39 | 50% 2795-2794 (5589) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $25.4 | — | -$25.4 | 51% 2151-2062 (4213) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $14.52 | — | -$14.52 | 49% 209-220 (429) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 71.5¢ | $55.87 | $15.59 | -$3.12 | 60% 4192-2848 (7040) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $0.42 | — | -$0.42 | 42% 2048-2798 (4846) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 26.6¢ | $31.97 | — | -$31.97 | 48% 2407-2652 (5059) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.8¢ | $41.75 | — | -$41.75 | 70% 1807-771 (2578) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.8¢ | $27.2 | — | -$27.2 | 44% 2374-3081 (5455) |
Invested
$1,515.04
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$155.29
Record
49%
3600-3701 (7301)
Invested
$552.7
Value
$495.14
PnL
+$2.18
Record
54%
4162-3504 (7666)
Invested
$587.34
Value
$429.8
PnL
-$128
Record
49%
2456-2514 (4970)
Invested
$274.6
Value
$399.92
PnL
+$125.32
Record
58%
3986-2906 (6892)
Invested
$277.25
Value
$276.07
PnL
-$1.18
Record
54%
2675-2263 (4938)
Invested
$80.48
Value
—
PnL
-$80.48
Record
44%
1373-1733 (3106)
Invested
$39
Value
$60
PnL
+$21
Record
51%
4890-4670 (9560)
Invested
$39
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$21
Record
51%
1638-1554 (3192)
Invested
$28.13
Value
$50
PnL
+$21.87
Record
48%
2484-2691 (5175)
Both legs:
Invested
$35.94
Value
$53.88
PnL
+$17.94
Record
52%
1650-1545 (3195)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$48.43
Value
$50
PnL
+$12.3
Record
51%
2506-2369 (4875)
Invested
$42.35
Value
$45
PnL
+$6.1
Record
48%
2509-2762 (5271)
Invested
$49.55
Value
$41.65
PnL
-$0.39
Record
50%
2795-2794 (5589)
Invested
$25.4
Value
—
PnL
-$25.4
Record
51%
2151-2062 (4213)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$14.52
Value
—
PnL
-$14.52
Record
49%
209-220 (429)
Invested
$55.87
Value
$15.59
PnL
-$3.12
Record
60%
4192-2848 (7040)
Invested
$0.42
Value
—
PnL
-$0.42
Record
42%
2048-2798 (4846)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$31.97
Value
—
PnL
-$31.97
Record
48%
2407-2652 (5059)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$41.75
Value
—
PnL
-$41.75
Record
70%
1807-771 (2578)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$27.2
Value
—
PnL
-$27.2
Record
44%
2374-3081 (5455)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $1.7K
ByteBadger92
Down — $495.14
uninformedfloww
Down — $429.8
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $399.92
ply-pm2
Down — $276.07
13897651
CTRUp — $0
bosona
Down — $60
almach
Down — $59.99
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
ARBArbitrage — excluded
mo-money
Down — $53.88