Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
17
Up 47%
$781.42
-$252.29
Smart Money Signal
8 of 17 top traders (47%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 51Β’ | $512.08 | $500 | -$6.58 | 54% 4162-3504 (7666) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 84.3Β’ | $53.61 | $52.38 | -$1.23 | 58% 3986-2906 (6892) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 52.9Β’ | $47.12 | $89.05 | +$41.94 | 51% 2151-2062 (4213) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 46.5Β’ | $32.55 | β | -$32.55 | 48% 1480-1593 (3073) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 90Β’ | $39.9 | $30 | -$9.9 | 51% 4890-4670 (9560) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 88Β’ | $39.59 | $29.99 | -$9.6 | 51% 1638-1554 (3192) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 93Β’ | $27.9 | $30 | +$2.1 | 52% 1650-1545 (3195) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $29.7 | $30 | +$0.3 | 98% 4434-91 (4525) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 82Β’ | $22.17 | $20 | -$2.18 | 54% 2675-2263 (4938) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $15 | β | -$15 | 51% 2506-2369 (4875) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 42.7Β’ | $16.69 | β | -$16.69 | 50% 955-949 (1904) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 42Β’ | $11.91 | β | -$11.91 | 60% 4192-2848 (7040) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 40Β’ | $2 | β | -$2 | 48% 2509-2762 (5271) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Downavg 19.2Β’ | $135.61 | β | -$135.61 | 42% 2048-2798 (4846) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.4Β’ | $32.73 | β | -$32.73 | 49% 2456-2514 (4970) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.9Β’ | $20.65 | β | -$20.65 | 48% 2484-2691 (5175) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 0.2Β’ | $0.01 | β | -$0.01 | 49% 3600-3701 (7301) |
Invested
$512.08
Value
$500
PnL
-$6.58
Record
54%
4162-3504 (7666)
Invested
$53.61
Value
$52.38
PnL
-$1.23
Record
58%
3986-2906 (6892)
Invested
$47.12
Value
$89.05
PnL
+$41.94
Record
51%
2151-2062 (4213)
Invested
$32.55
Value
β
PnL
-$32.55
Record
48%
1480-1593 (3073)
Invested
$39.9
Value
$30
PnL
-$9.9
Record
51%
4890-4670 (9560)
Invested
$39.59
Value
$29.99
PnL
-$9.6
Record
51%
1638-1554 (3192)
Invested
$27.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$2.1
Record
52%
1650-1545 (3195)
Invested
$29.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.3
Record
98%
4434-91 (4525)
Invested
$22.17
Value
$20
PnL
-$2.18
Record
54%
2675-2263 (4938)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$15
Value
β
PnL
-$15
Record
51%
2506-2369 (4875)
Invested
$16.69
Value
β
PnL
-$16.69
Record
50%
955-949 (1904)
Invested
$11.91
Value
β
PnL
-$11.91
Record
60%
4192-2848 (7040)
Invested
$2
Value
β
PnL
-$2
Record
48%
2509-2762 (5271)
Invested
$135.61
Value
β
PnL
-$135.61
Record
42%
2048-2798 (4846)
Invested
$32.73
Value
β
PnL
-$32.73
Record
49%
2456-2514 (4970)
Invested
$20.65
Value
β
PnL
-$20.65
Record
48%
2484-2691 (5175)
Invested
$0.01
Value
β
PnL
-$0.01
Record
49%
3600-3701 (7301)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Up β $500
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up β $52.38
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $89.05
PBot-5
CTRDown β $0
bosona
Up β $30
almach
Up β $29.99
mo-money
Up β $30
hoodquant
Up β $30
ply-pm2
Up β $20

Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown β $0