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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 33%

Total Value

$233.03

Combined PnL

-$504.19

Smart Money Signal

Down

3 of 9 top traders (33%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,125
Combined PnL-$538.49
Up6 traders
Total Value$233.03
Total Shares233
Combined PnL+$34.3
Down — 33%Up — 67%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

54%

4094-3445 (7539)

0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100
Up

Invested

$81.79

Value

$82

PnL

+$18.21

Record

58%

3966-2891 (6857)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$57.63

Value

$63.33

PnL

+$5.7

Record

60%

4136-2815 (6951)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$30.62

Value

$39.98

PnL

+$9.36

Record

49%

3552-3629 (7181)

BoneOhio<$100
Up

Invested

$17.35

Value

$17.53

PnL

+$0.18

Record

70%

1783-757 (2540)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$16.02

Value

$15.11

PnL

-$0.91

Record

54%

2644-2228 (4872)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$13.31

Value

$15.08

PnL

+$1.77

Record

44%

1363-1710 (3073)

PB
PBot-6CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.74

Value

—

PnL

-$7.74

Record

50%

940-932 (1872)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$30.75

Value

—

PnL

-$30.75

Record

42%

2015-2741 (4756)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x7de82d66...375aa0
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1794746700

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$500
0X

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $82

+$18.21
AA

aaa221

Up — $63.33

+$5.7
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $39.98

+$9.36

BoneOhio

Up — $17.53

+$0.18
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $15.11

-$0.91
13

13897651

Up — $15.08

+$1.77
PB

PBot-6

CTR

Down — $0

-$7.74
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Down — $0

-$30.75
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