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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.7K

Combined PnL

$8.79

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$1.2K

Total Shares1,242

Combined PnL+$23.55

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares36

Combined PnL-$14.76

Up — 75%Down — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$751.41	$759	+$7.59	98% 4326-89 (4415)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$500	$490.01	-$3.8	54% 4065-3413 (7478)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$245	$490.01	+$246.2
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 71.8¢	$334.67	$326.43	-$8.24	49% 3541-3613 (7154)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 84.4¢	$118.45	$106.5	+$16.91	58% 3957-2883 (6840)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Upavg 87.6¢	$52.57	$25	+$9.65	51% 2459-2319 (4778)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 83.5¢	$36.66	$20	-$1.48	54% 2631-2208 (4839)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 49¢	$14.7	—	-$14.7	48% 2437-2636 (5073)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 64¢	$6.07	$5.19	-$0.88	44% 1359-1698 (3057)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.06	—	-$0.06	42% 1993-2712 (4705)

Invested

$751.41

Value

$759

PnL

+$7.59

Record

98%

4326-89 (4415)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$500

Value

$490.01

PnL

-$3.8

Record

54%

4065-3413 (7478)

Both legs:

Up$24550¢+$246.2

Down$25050¢-$250

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$334.67

Value

$326.43

PnL

-$8.24

Record

49%

3541-3613 (7154)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$118.45

Value

$106.5

PnL

+$16.91

Record

58%

3957-2883 (6840)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$52.57

Value

$25

PnL

+$9.65

Record

51%

2459-2319 (4778)

Invested

$36.66

Value

$20

PnL

-$1.48

Record

54%

2631-2208 (4839)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$14.7

Value

—

PnL

-$14.7

Record

48%

2437-2636 (5073)

Invested

$6.07

Value

$5.19

PnL

-$0.88

Record

44%

1359-1698 (3057)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$0.06

Value

—

PnL

-$0.06

Record

42%

1993-2712 (4705)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x41ad7fb4...f22210

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1794744900

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $759

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $326.43

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $106.5

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $25

ply-pm2

Up — $20

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

13897651

Up — $5.19

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

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