Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
15
Up 60%
$976.24
-$568.88
Smart Money Signal
9 of 15 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.6Β’ | $769.63 | $780.72 | +$11.1 | 98% 4326-89 (4415) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.5Β’ | $507.44 | β | -$496.05 | 54% 4065-3413 (7478) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 87.2Β’ | $124.34 | $75.9 | -$12.11 | 51% 2459-2319 (4778) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $17.15 | $35 | +$17.85 | 48% 1455-1564 (3019) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 84Β’ | $25.17 | $29.96 | +$4.79 | 60% 4116-2795 (6911) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 70.1Β’ | $27.43 | $16.84 | -$2.85 | 44% 1359-1698 (3057) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 78.3Β’ | $16.82 | $11 | +$2.64 | 48% 2357-2599 (4956) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 29Β’ | $3.74 | $10 | +$6.26 | 48% 2459-2704 (5163) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $4.88 | $9.96 | +$5.08 | 50% 933-923 (1856) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 58.5Β’ | $37.99 | $6.86 | +$0.44 | 54% 2631-2208 (4839) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 48.4Β’ | $31.68 | β | -$31.68 | 46% 3188-3736 (6924) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.8Β’ | $37.31 | β | -$34.42 | 58% 3957-2883 (6840) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.4Β’ | $10.45 | β | -$10.45 | 44% 2338-3018 (5356) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 16Β’ | $28.37 | β | -$28.37 | 42% 1993-2712 (4705) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $1.12 | β | -$1.12 | 50% 2738-2731 (5469) |
Invested
$769.63
Value
$780.72
PnL
+$11.1
Record
98%
4326-89 (4415)
Invested
$507.44
Value
β
PnL
-$496.05
Record
54%
4065-3413 (7478)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$124.34
Value
$75.9
PnL
-$12.11
Record
51%
2459-2319 (4778)
Invested
$17.15
Value
$35
PnL
+$17.85
Record
48%
1455-1564 (3019)
Invested
$25.17
Value
$29.96
PnL
+$4.79
Record
60%
4116-2795 (6911)
Invested
$27.43
Value
$16.84
PnL
-$2.85
Record
44%
1359-1698 (3057)
ohioism<$100Invested
$16.82
Value
$11
PnL
+$2.64
Record
48%
2357-2599 (4956)
Invested
$3.74
Value
$10
PnL
+$6.26
Record
48%
2459-2704 (5163)
Invested
$4.88
Value
$9.96
PnL
+$5.08
Record
50%
933-923 (1856)
Invested
$37.99
Value
$6.86
PnL
+$0.44
Record
54%
2631-2208 (4839)
Invested
$31.68
Value
β
PnL
-$31.68
Record
46%
3188-3736 (6924)
Invested
$37.31
Value
β
PnL
-$34.42
Record
58%
3957-2883 (6840)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$10.45
Value
β
PnL
-$10.45
Record
44%
2338-3018 (5356)
Invested
$28.37
Value
β
PnL
-$28.37
Record
42%
1993-2712 (4705)
Invested
$1.12
Value
β
PnL
-$1.12
Record
50%
2738-2731 (5469)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up β $780.72
ByteBadger92
CTRDown β $0

Polkadot-Frog
Up β $75.9
PBot-5
Up β $35
aaa221
Up β $29.96
13897651
Up β $16.84

ohioism
Up β $11
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $10
PBot-6
Up β $9.96
ply-pm2
Up β $6.86