Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 74%
$2.7K
$23.3
Smart Money Signal
14 of 19 top traders (74%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 61.9¢ | $1.3K | $1.1K | -$223.56 | 50% 3476-3482 (6958) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $517.32 | $497.38 | -$1.52 | 54% 3939-3307 (7246) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 71.7¢ | $286.68 | $400 | +$113.32 | 58% 3913-2854 (6767) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 72.6¢ | $177.96 | $188.78 | +$10.82 | 54% 2562-2153 (4715) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 97.9¢ | $136.67 | $139.64 | +$2.97 | 98% 4191-88 (4279) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $51.54 | $68.76 | +$17.22 | 44% 1326-1666 (2992) |
AA aaa221 | Downavg 29.8¢ | $31.1 | $104.33 | +$73.23 | 60% 4018-2726 (6744) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 76.1¢ | $32.85 | $43.17 | +$10.32 | 51% 1570-1480 (3050) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 70.4¢ | $103.45 | $32.34 | +$14.36 | 51% 2389-2256 (4645) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $23.4 | $30 | +$6.6 | 51% 1567-1482 (3049) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $23.4 | $30 | +$6.6 | 51% 4812-4602 (9414) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 56.5¢ | $17.04 | $30.14 | +$13.1 | 48% 198-216 (414) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $17.15 | $35 | +$17.85 | 48% 1421-1515 (2936) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $9.81 | — | -$9.81 | 46% 3122-3654 (6776) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $7.04 | $14.37 | +$7.33 | 47% 2293-2538 (4831) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 38.3¢ | $17.31 | — | -$17.31 | 48% 2388-2566 (4954) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $1.98 | — | -$1.98 | 42% 1920-2608 (4528) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 50% 2671-2654 (5325) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.4¢ | $15.24 | — | -$15.24 | 48% 2398-2644 (5042) |
Invested
$1,319.9
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$223.56
Record
50%
3476-3482 (6958)
Invested
$517.32
Value
$497.38
PnL
-$1.52
Record
54%
3939-3307 (7246)
Invested
$286.68
Value
$400
PnL
+$113.32
Record
58%
3913-2854 (6767)
Invested
$177.96
Value
$188.78
PnL
+$10.82
Record
54%
2562-2153 (4715)
Invested
$136.67
Value
$139.64
PnL
+$2.97
Record
98%
4191-88 (4279)
Invested
$51.54
Value
$68.76
PnL
+$17.22
Record
44%
1326-1666 (2992)
Invested
$31.1
Value
$104.33
PnL
+$73.23
Record
60%
4018-2726 (6744)
Invested
$32.85
Value
$43.17
PnL
+$10.32
Record
51%
1570-1480 (3050)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$103.45
Value
$32.34
PnL
+$14.36
Record
51%
2389-2256 (4645)
Invested
$23.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$6.6
Record
51%
1567-1482 (3049)
Invested
$23.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$6.6
Record
51%
4812-4602 (9414)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$17.04
Value
$30.14
PnL
+$13.1
Record
48%
198-216 (414)
Invested
$17.15
Value
$35
PnL
+$17.85
Record
48%
1421-1515 (2936)
Invested
$9.81
Value
—
PnL
-$9.81
Record
46%
3122-3654 (6776)
ohioism<$100Invested
$7.04
Value
$14.37
PnL
+$7.33
Record
47%
2293-2538 (4831)
Invested
$17.31
Value
—
PnL
-$17.31
Record
48%
2388-2566 (4954)
Invested
$1.98
Value
—
PnL
-$1.98
Record
42%
1920-2608 (4528)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
50%
2671-2654 (5325)
Invested
$15.24
Value
—
PnL
-$15.24
Record
48%
2398-2644 (5042)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $1.1K
ByteBadger92
Down — $497.38
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $400
ply-pm2
Down — $188.78
hoodquant
Down — $139.64
13897651
Down — $68.76
aaa221
Down — $104.33
almach
Down — $43.17
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $32.34
mo-money
Down — $30