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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Down 54%

Total Value

$1.3K

Combined PnL

-$482.86

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 13 top traders (54%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$1.3K

Total Shares1,292

Combined PnL+$278.69

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares905

Combined PnL-$761.55

Down — 54%Up — 46%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$660.75	$667.53	+$6.78	98% 4160-87 (4247)
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50.6¢	$519.43	—	-$499.78	54% 3914-3284 (7198)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 43.9¢	$271.38	$349.89	+$109.7	50% 3448-3455 (6903)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Downavg 23.6¢	$34.69	$146.87	+$112.17	43% 1909-2581 (4490)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR	Upavg 35.1¢	$193.02	—	-$193.02	58% 3901-2845 (6746)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 56.9¢	$39	$49	+$14.95	51% 2371-2247 (4618)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Upavg 28.2¢	$35.41	—	-$35.41	44% 1317-1660 (2977)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 72.5¢	$33.22	—	-$28.23	54% 2550-2139 (4689)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 55¢	$27.5	$50	+$22.5	51% 2031-1950 (3981)
MO mo-money<$100	Downavg 37¢	$8.03	$21.71	+$13.67	51% 1558-1472 (3030)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 97¢	$8.09	$7	-$1.09	50% 2651-2645 (5296)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 55¢	$11.01	—	-$3.26	60% 3996-2713 (6709)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Upavg 52¢	$1.86	—	-$1.86	46% 3106-3639 (6745)

Invested

$660.75

Value

$667.53

PnL

+$6.78

Record

98%

4160-87 (4247)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$519.43

Value

—

PnL

-$499.78

Record

54%

3914-3284 (7198)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$271.38

Value

$349.89

PnL

+$109.7

Record

50%

3448-3455 (6903)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$34.69

Value

$146.87

PnL

+$112.17

Record

43%

1909-2581 (4490)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR

Invested

$193.02

Value

—

PnL

-$193.02

Record

58%

3901-2845 (6746)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$39

Value

$49

PnL

+$14.95

Record

51%

2371-2247 (4618)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$35.41

Value

—

PnL

-$35.41

Record

44%

1317-1660 (2977)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$33.22

Value

—

PnL

-$28.23

Record

54%

2550-2139 (4689)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$27.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$22.5

Record

51%

2031-1950 (3981)

Invested

$8.03

Value

$21.71

PnL

+$13.67

Record

51%

1558-1472 (3030)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$8.09

Value

$7

PnL

-$1.09

Record

50%

2651-2645 (5296)

Invested

$11.01

Value

—

PnL

-$3.26

Record

60%

3996-2713 (6709)

suntoriCTR<$100

Invested

$1.86

Value

—

PnL

-$1.86

Record

46%

3106-3639 (6745)

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 13 top traders (54%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x83063e8f...a8d2a1

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1794726900

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Down — $667.53

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $349.89

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $146.87

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $0

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $49

13897651

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $50

mo-money

Down — $21.71

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