Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 75%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

$32.87

Smart Money Signal

Down

12 of 16 top traders (75%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down12 traders

Total Value$516.79

Total Shares517

Combined PnL+$142.61

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares553

Combined PnL-$109.73

Down — 75%Up — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.1¢	$507.54	$492	+$1.3	54% 3914-3284 (7198)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.1¢	$246.58	$492	+$248
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.4¢	$242.06	—	-$246.7
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Downavg 74.7¢	$241.36	$224	-$17.36	50% 3448-3455 (6903)
└ Down leg	Downavg 74.7¢	$167.41	$224	+$56.59
└ Up leg	Upavg 24.6¢	$73.95	—	-$73.95
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 60.6¢	$76.38	$108	+$31.62	58% 3901-2845 (6746)
13 13897651	Downavg 62.3¢	$89.58	$100.27	+$10.69	44% 1317-1660 (2977)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 79.8¢	$48.91	$57	+$8.09	51% 2371-2247 (4618)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 57.4¢	$20.1	$35	+$14.9	48% 2388-2630 (5018)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 65.8¢	$31.58	$34.76	+$3.18	54% 2550-2139 (4689)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 80¢	$25.11	$30.09	+$4.98	60% 3996-2713 (6709)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 52¢	$20.55	—	-$20.55	51% 2031-1950 (3981)
PB PBot-5<$100	Downavg 48¢	$16.8	$35	+$18.2	49% 1416-1501 (2917)
BO bosona<$100	Downavg 53¢	$15.9	$30	+$14.1	51% 4806-4590 (9396)
MO mo-money<$100	Downavg 53¢	$15.9	$29.99	+$14.1	51% 1558-1472 (3030)
AL almach<$100	Downavg 53¢	$15.9	$29.99	+$14.1	52% 1562-1470 (3032)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 90¢	$9.05	$10.06	+$1.01	50% 1667-1698 (3365)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 54¢	$8.98	$16.63	+$7.65	44% 2281-2921 (5202)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 30¢	$4.11	—	-$4.11	50% 2651-2645 (5296)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 33¢	$1.65	—	-$1.65	48% 2372-2557 (4929)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 16.9¢	$83.42	—	-$83.42	43% 1909-2581 (4490)