Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Down 91%
$1.4K
-$66.02
Smart Money Signal
10 of 11 top traders (91%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.4Β’ | $506.24 | $498 | +$4.46 | 54% 3914-3284 (7198) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.4Β’ | $338.65 | $344.3 | +$5.65 | 98% 4160-87 (4247) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 69.1Β’ | $255.88 | $334 | +$78.12 | 50% 3448-3455 (6903) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 88.4Β’ | $59.9 | $50.64 | +$5.29 | 51% 2371-2247 (4618) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 83.7Β’ | $41.22 | $49.24 | +$8.02 | 60% 3996-2713 (6709) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 95Β’ | $31.4 | $30 | -$1.4 | 58% 3901-2845 (6746) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 57Β’ | $7.41 | $10.96 | +$3.55 | 44% 1317-1660 (2977) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 57Β’ | $18.75 | $15 | +$6.25 | 54% 2550-2139 (4689) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $5.78 | $11.8 | +$6.02 | 44% 2281-2921 (5202) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 73Β’ | $6.82 | $9.34 | +$2.52 | 47% 2283-2527 (4810) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Upavg 15.2Β’ | $184.51 | β | -$184.51 | 43% 1909-2581 (4490) |
Invested
$506.24
Value
$498
PnL
+$4.46
Record
54%
3914-3284 (7198)
Invested
$338.65
Value
$344.3
PnL
+$5.65
Record
98%
4160-87 (4247)
Invested
$255.88
Value
$334
PnL
+$78.12
Record
50%
3448-3455 (6903)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$59.9
Value
$50.64
PnL
+$5.29
Record
51%
2371-2247 (4618)
Invested
$41.22
Value
$49.24
PnL
+$8.02
Record
60%
3996-2713 (6709)
Invested
$31.4
Value
$30
PnL
-$1.4
Record
58%
3901-2845 (6746)
Invested
$7.41
Value
$10.96
PnL
+$3.55
Record
44%
1317-1660 (2977)
Invested
$18.75
Value
$15
PnL
+$6.25
Record
54%
2550-2139 (4689)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$5.78
Value
$11.8
PnL
+$6.02
Record
44%
2281-2921 (5202)
ohioism<$100Invested
$6.82
Value
$9.34
PnL
+$2.52
Record
47%
2283-2527 (4810)
Invested
$184.51
Value
β
PnL
-$184.51
Record
43%
1909-2581 (4490)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Down β $498
hoodquant
Down β $344.3
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $334

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $50.64
aaa221
Down β $49.24
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down β $30
13897651
Down β $10.96
ply-pm2
Down β $15

G-Penis-Monster
Down β $11.8

ohioism
Down β $9.34