Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Up 69%
1 arb excluded
$2.8K
-$424.32
Smart Money Signal
11 of 16 top traders (69%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 80.7¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | -$73.75 | 50% 3424-3398 (6822) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $800.87 | $810.16 | +$9.29 | 98% 4120-86 (4206) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.5¢ | $511.9 | $497.5 | -$8.15 | 54% 3871-3256 (7127) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 66.7¢ | $43.85 | $65.69 | +$21.84 | 60% 3969-2697 (6666) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518ARB<$100 | Upavg 53.5¢ | $49.67 | $49.84 | +$0.17 | 51% 2012-1937 (3949) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 53.5¢ | $26.64 | $49.84 | +$23.2 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49¢ | $23.03 | — | -$23.03 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $40.04 | $46 | +$5.96 | 58% 3890-2826 (6716) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 83.2¢ | $42.2 | $40 | -$2.2 | 54% 2526-2126 (4652) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 99.7¢ | $29.91 | $30 | +$0.09 | 51% 4792-4578 (9370) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 69.8¢ | $42.5 | $25 | +$7.27 | 51% 2355-2225 (4580) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $16.8 | — | -$16.8 | 52% 1551-1455 (3006) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $16.8 | — | -$16.8 | 51% 1543-1462 (3005) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $6.31 | $11.27 | +$4.96 | 44% 1307-1651 (2958) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $6.3 | $10 | +$3.7 | 47% 2261-2512 (4773) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $2.8 | $5.38 | +$2.58 | 46% 3088-3615 (6703) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $0.82 | — | -$0.82 | 50% 893-886 (1779) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Downavg 17.5¢ | $317.2 | — | -$317.2 | 43% 1894-2540 (4434) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.1¢ | $44.3 | — | -$44.3 | 49% 1410-1488 (2898) |
Invested
$1,234.7
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$73.75
Record
50%
3424-3398 (6822)
Invested
$800.87
Value
$810.16
PnL
+$9.29
Record
98%
4120-86 (4206)
Invested
$511.9
Value
$497.5
PnL
-$8.15
Record
54%
3871-3256 (7127)
Invested
$43.85
Value
$65.69
PnL
+$21.84
Record
60%
3969-2697 (6666)
Invested
$49.67
Value
$49.84
PnL
+$0.17
Record
51%
2012-1937 (3949)
Both legs:
Invested
$40.04
Value
$46
PnL
+$5.96
Record
58%
3890-2826 (6716)
Invested
$42.2
Value
$40
PnL
-$2.2
Record
54%
2526-2126 (4652)
Invested
$29.91
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.09
Record
51%
4792-4578 (9370)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$42.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$7.27
Record
51%
2355-2225 (4580)
Invested
$16.8
Value
—
PnL
-$16.8
Record
52%
1551-1455 (3006)
Invested
$16.8
Value
—
PnL
-$16.8
Record
51%
1543-1462 (3005)
Invested
$6.31
Value
$11.27
PnL
+$4.96
Record
44%
1307-1651 (2958)
ohioism<$100Invested
$6.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.7
Record
47%
2261-2512 (4773)
Invested
$2.8
Value
$5.38
PnL
+$2.58
Record
46%
3088-3615 (6703)
Invested
$0.82
Value
—
PnL
-$0.82
Record
50%
893-886 (1779)
Invested
$317.2
Value
—
PnL
-$317.2
Record
43%
1894-2540 (4434)
Invested
$44.3
Value
—
PnL
-$44.3
Record
49%
1410-1488 (2898)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $1.2K
hoodquant
Up — $810.16
ByteBadger92
Up — $497.5
aaa221
Up — $65.69
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $46
ply-pm2
Up — $40
bosona
Up — $30
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $25
almach
CTRDown — $0