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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Down 75%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

-$112.16

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 12 top traders (75%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares1,458

Combined PnL+$14.56

Up3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares670

Combined PnL-$126.72

Down — 75%Up — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.9¢	$537.01	$543	+$5.99	98% 4086-84 (4170)
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.2¢	$503.7	$495.29	+$2.99	54% 3849-3219 (7068)
BoneOhio	Downavg 99¢	$157.66	$159.25	+$1.59	70% 1721-726 (2447)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 99.2¢	$167.13	$150	-$17.13	50% 3397-3361 (6758)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 94.8¢	$66.66	$39.13	+$3.48	51% 2336-2212 (4548)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 76¢	$25.31	$33.3	+$7.99	47% 2348-2603 (4951)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 65.4¢	$31.48	$25.45	+$5.22	54% 2509-2112 (4621)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 76¢	$4.71	$6.2	+$1.49	44% 1294-1645 (2939)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 51¢	$3.06	$6	+$2.94	51% 1998-1928 (3926)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR	Upavg 20¢	$123.18	—	-$123.18	43% 1879-2519 (4398)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.1	—	-$0.1	36% 1413-2501 (3914)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Upavg 8¢	$3.44	—	-$3.44	58% 3865-2801 (6666)

Invested

$537.01

Value

$543

PnL

+$5.99

Record

98%

4086-84 (4170)

Invested

$503.7

Value

$495.29

PnL

+$2.99

Record

54%

3849-3219 (7068)

Invested

$157.66

Value

$159.25

PnL

+$1.59

Record

70%

1721-726 (2447)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$167.13

Value

$150

PnL

-$17.13

Record

50%

3397-3361 (6758)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$66.66

Value

$39.13

PnL

+$3.48

Record

51%

2336-2212 (4548)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$25.31

Value

$33.3

PnL

+$7.99

Record

47%

2348-2603 (4951)

Invested

$31.48

Value

$25.45

PnL

+$5.22

Record

54%

2509-2112 (4621)

Invested

$4.71

Value

$6.2

PnL

+$1.49

Record

44%

1294-1645 (2939)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$3.06

Value

$6

PnL

+$2.94

Record

51%

1998-1928 (3926)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR

Invested

$123.18

Value

—

PnL

-$123.18

Record

43%

1879-2519 (4398)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.1

Value

—

PnL

-$0.1

Record

36%

1413-2501 (3914)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$3.44

Value

—

PnL

-$3.44

Record

58%

3865-2801 (6666)

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 12 top traders (75%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2b9ba841...ef9754

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1794718800

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Down — $543

ByteBadger92

Down — $495.29

BoneOhio

Down — $159.25

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $150

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $39.13

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $33.3

ply-pm2

Down — $25.45

13897651

Down — $6.2

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $6

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

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