Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 37% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
19
Up 39%
$1.6K
-$90.33
Smart Money Signal
7 of 19 top traders (37%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 34.8¢ | $634.53 | $1.2K | +$535.72 | 50% 3372-3320 (6692) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50.4¢ | $524.75 | — | -$501.5 | 54% 3808-3199 (7007) |
13 13897651 | Downavg 53.9¢ | $134.9 | $132.79 | -$2.11 | 44% 1281-1640 (2921) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 53.9¢ | $51.25 | $95 | +$43.75 | 47% 2327-2591 (4918) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 75.8¢ | $76.56 | $62.87 | -$1.58 | 54% 2490-2100 (4590) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 47.3¢ | $34.5 | $35 | +$20.5 | 51% 2323-2193 (4516) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 90.5¢ | $27.3 | $30.17 | +$2.87 | 50% 1651-1664 (3315) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 54.5¢ | $17.7 | $17.72 | +$0.02 | 50% 2579-2590 (5169) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 37¢ | $24.81 | — | -$24.81 | 70% 1711-719 (2430) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $15 | — | -$15 | 49% 1381-1459 (2840) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $7.94 | $24.07 | +$16.13 | 52% 1527-1435 (2962) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | $10.5 | $30 | +$19.5 | 47% 2226-2478 (4704) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 58.1¢ | $7.31 | $12.58 | +$5.27 | 60% 3927-2670 (6597) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 51% 1980-1923 (3903) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $8.82 | — | -$8.82 | 44% 2227-2869 (5096) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $0.75 | $1.75 | +$1 | 51% 1517-1445 (2962) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Upavg 41¢ | $164.02 | — | -$164.02 | 58% 3808-2767 (6575) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 27.4¢ | $11.25 | — | -$11.25 | 43% 1865-2503 (4368) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $0 | $0.01 | +$0.01 | 48% 2317-2509 (4826) |
Invested
$634.53
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$535.72
Record
50%
3372-3320 (6692)
Invested
$524.75
Value
—
PnL
-$501.5
Record
54%
3808-3199 (7007)
Invested
$134.9
Value
$132.79
PnL
-$2.11
Record
44%
1281-1640 (2921)
Invested
$51.25
Value
$95
PnL
+$43.75
Record
47%
2327-2591 (4918)
Invested
$76.56
Value
$62.87
PnL
-$1.58
Record
54%
2490-2100 (4590)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$34.5
Value
$35
PnL
+$20.5
Record
51%
2323-2193 (4516)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$27.3
Value
$30.17
PnL
+$2.87
Record
50%
1651-1664 (3315)
Invested
$17.7
Value
$17.72
PnL
+$0.02
Record
50%
2579-2590 (5169)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$24.81
Value
—
PnL
-$24.81
Record
70%
1711-719 (2430)
Invested
$15
Value
—
PnL
-$15
Record
49%
1381-1459 (2840)
Invested
$7.94
Value
$24.07
PnL
+$16.13
Record
52%
1527-1435 (2962)
ohioism<$100Invested
$10.5
Value
$30
PnL
+$19.5
Record
47%
2226-2478 (4704)
Invested
$7.31
Value
$12.58
PnL
+$5.27
Record
60%
3927-2670 (6597)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
51%
1980-1923 (3903)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$8.82
Value
—
PnL
-$8.82
Record
44%
2227-2869 (5096)
Invested
$0.75
Value
$1.75
PnL
+$1
Record
51%
1517-1445 (2962)
Invested
$164.02
Value
—
PnL
-$164.02
Record
58%
3808-2767 (6575)
Invested
$11.25
Value
—
PnL
-$11.25
Record
43%
1865-2503 (4368)
Invested
$0
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$0.01
Record
48%
2317-2509 (4826)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $1.2K
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
13897651
Down — $132.79
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $95
ply-pm2
Down — $62.87
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $35
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $30.17
dvasdkasodk
Down — $17.72
BoneOhio
CTRUp — $0
PBot-5
CTRUp — $0