Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

$-1.8K

Smart Money Signal

Down

12 of 18 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,166

Combined PnL$-2.0K

Up6 traders

Total Value$375.86

Total Shares376

Combined PnL+$209.93

Down — 67%Up — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 50.5¢	$516.14	—	-$491.11	54% 3808-3199 (7007)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Downavg 73.4¢	$309.58	$871.97	+$562.38	50% 3372-3320 (6692)
└ Down leg	Downavg 73.4¢	$201.46	—	-$201.46
└ Up leg	Upavg 12.4¢	$108.12	$871.97	+$763.84
PL ply-pm2	Upavg 21.7¢	$93.52	$177.82	+$103.7	54% 2490-2100 (4590)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Downavg 94.3¢	$89.59	—	-$89.59	58% 3808-2767 (6575)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 40.9¢	$32.74	$80	+$47.26	47% 2226-2478 (4704)
BO bosonaCTR<$100	Downavg 79.7¢	$81.03	—	-$81.03	51% 4768-4559 (9327)
AL almachCTR<$100	Downavg 81.5¢	$57.81	—	-$57.81	52% 1527-1435 (2962)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 43.8¢	$44.79	$79.69	+$34.9	51% 1980-1923 (3903)
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100	Downavg 80.5¢	$48.3	—	-$48.3	51% 1517-1445 (2962)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 92.7¢	$27.95	—	-$27.95	50% 1651-1664 (3315)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 14.7¢	$2.55	$17.3	+$14.75	50% 2579-2590 (5169)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 73¢	$22.41	—	-$22.41	60% 3927-2670 (6597)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 52.2¢	$11.68	$16.26	+$4.58	44% 1281-1640 (2921)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 55.6¢	$6.68	—	-$6.68	43% 1865-2503 (4368)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 48¢	$22.8	—	-$12.4	48% 2317-2509 (4826)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	$4.79	+$4.74	36% 1409-2482 (3891)
HO hoodquantCTR	Downavg 98.1¢	$1.1K	—	$-1.1K	98% 4049-84 (4133)
Polkadot-FrogCTR	Downavg 87.6¢	$113.1	—	-$66.59	51% 2323-2193 (4516)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 66¢	$19.8	—	-$19.8	44% 2227-2869 (5096)