Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Up 79%
2 arb excluded
$2.5K
$147.41
Smart Money Signal
11 of 14 top traders (79%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 69.1Β’ | $808.88 | $820.47 | +$23.01 | 49% 2396-2460 (4856) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.4Β’ | $514.3 | $497.84 | +$5.48 | 54% 3763-3169 (6932) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.4Β’ | $250.79 | $497.84 | +$252.58 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.5Β’ | $247.4 | β | -$247.1 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 78.8Β’ | $399.08 | $399.53 | +$69.45 | 58% 3775-2737 (6512) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 16.2Β’ | $371.91 | $280 | -$91.92 | 51% 3341-3263 (6604) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 53.2Β’ | $149 | $280 | +$131 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 16.2Β’ | $222.91 | β | -$222.91 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8Β’ | $322.2 | $326.16 | +$3.96 | 98% 3999-84 (4083) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 46.5Β’ | $25.03 | $49 | +$23.97 | 44% 2198-2839 (5037) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 70.8Β’ | $15.97 | $22.56 | +$6.59 | 44% 1266-1632 (2898) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 54.9Β’ | $15.35 | $25.23 | +$9.88 | 47% 2305-2557 (4862) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 41.2Β’ | $11.75 | $25 | +$13.25 | 48% 2280-2489 (4769) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 58.1Β’ | $42.99 | $13.45 | +$5.85 | 54% 2461-2088 (4549) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 63.6Β’ | $80.57 | $15 | -$2.75 | 52% 2308-2166 (4474) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 46Β’ | $9.2 | $20 | +$10.8 | 49% 1355-1438 (2793) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 46Β’ | $4.6 | $10 | +$5.4 | 50% 864-867 (1731) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.3Β’ | $27.74 | β | -$16.45 | 60% 3891-2648 (6539) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 17Β’ | $3.4 | β | -$3.4 | 47% 2198-2452 (4650) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 36Β’ | $2.16 | β | -$2.16 | 42% 1826-2483 (4309) |
Invested
$808.88
Value
$820.47
PnL
+$23.01
Record
49%
2396-2460 (4856)
Invested
$514.3
Value
$497.84
PnL
+$5.48
Record
54%
3763-3169 (6932)
Both legs:
Invested
$399.08
Value
$399.53
PnL
+$69.45
Record
58%
3775-2737 (6512)
Invested
$371.91
Value
$280
PnL
-$91.92
Record
51%
3341-3263 (6604)
Both legs:
Invested
$322.2
Value
$326.16
PnL
+$3.96
Record
98%
3999-84 (4083)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$25.03
Value
$49
PnL
+$23.97
Record
44%
2198-2839 (5037)
Invested
$15.97
Value
$22.56
PnL
+$6.59
Record
44%
1266-1632 (2898)
Invested
$15.35
Value
$25.23
PnL
+$9.88
Record
47%
2305-2557 (4862)
Invested
$11.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$13.25
Record
48%
2280-2489 (4769)
Invested
$42.99
Value
$13.45
PnL
+$5.85
Record
54%
2461-2088 (4549)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$80.57
Value
$15
PnL
-$2.75
Record
52%
2308-2166 (4474)
Invested
$9.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$10.8
Record
49%
1355-1438 (2793)
Invested
$4.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.4
Record
50%
864-867 (1731)
Invested
$27.74
Value
β
PnL
-$16.45
Record
60%
3891-2648 (6539)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.4
Value
β
PnL
-$3.4
Record
47%
2198-2452 (4650)
Invested
$2.16
Value
β
PnL
-$2.16
Record
42%
1826-2483 (4309)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Up β $820.47
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up β $399.53
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage β excluded
hoodquant
Up β $326.16

G-Penis-Monster
Up β $49
13897651
Up β $22.56
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $25.23
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up β $25
ply-pm2
Up β $13.45