Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 72%
1 arb excluded
$2.2K
-$30.71
Smart Money Signal
14 of 19 top traders (74%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 67.4¢ | $1.1K | $968.9 | -$90.24 | 51% 3321-3240 (6561) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.3¢ | $519.46 | $490 | -$1.1 | 54% 3731-3151 (6882) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.6¢ | $247.95 | $490 | +$250 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.3¢ | $251.4 | — | -$251.1 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 54.8¢ | $219.03 | $399.78 | +$180.75 | 58% 3760-2730 (6490) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8¢ | $135.36 | $137 | +$1.64 | 98% 3966-84 (4050) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 82.9¢ | $82.62 | $35.9 | +$1.91 | 54% 2440-2083 (4523) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $32.2 | $70 | +$37.8 | 48% 1343-1431 (2774) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $12.3 | — | -$12.3 | 47% 2283-2545 (4828) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $13.8 | $30 | +$16.2 | 51% 1487-1429 (2916) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 88.7¢ | $150.83 | $15 | -$12.8 | 52% 2296-2150 (4446) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $8.46 | $12.64 | +$4.17 | 51% 1492-1421 (2913) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $11.7 | $15 | +$3.3 | 48% 2261-2474 (4735) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $16.72 | $9.26 | +$6.99 | 59% 3865-2632 (6497) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $5.8 | $10 | +$4.2 | 70% 1672-705 (2377) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $3.6 | $5 | +$1.4 | 44% 1260-1624 (2884) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $0.82 | $1.82 | +$1 | 50% 852-864 (1716) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 22.5¢ | $155.08 | — | -$155.08 | 49% 2374-2443 (4817) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 26.7¢ | $21.4 | — | -$21.4 | 44% 2183-2822 (5005) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1401-2422 (3823) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $4.5 | — | -$4.5 | 47% 2185-2435 (4620) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $14.01 | — | +$6.3 | 51% 4740-4541 (9281) |
Invested
$1,059.13
Value
$968.9
PnL
-$90.24
Record
51%
3321-3240 (6561)
Invested
$519.46
Value
$490
PnL
-$1.1
Record
54%
3731-3151 (6882)
Both legs:
Invested
$219.03
Value
$399.78
PnL
+$180.75
Record
58%
3760-2730 (6490)
Invested
$135.36
Value
$137
PnL
+$1.64
Record
98%
3966-84 (4050)
Invested
$82.62
Value
$35.9
PnL
+$1.91
Record
54%
2440-2083 (4523)
Invested
$32.2
Value
$70
PnL
+$37.8
Record
48%
1343-1431 (2774)
Invested
$12.3
Value
—
PnL
-$12.3
Record
47%
2283-2545 (4828)
Invested
$13.8
Value
$30
PnL
+$16.2
Record
51%
1487-1429 (2916)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$150.83
Value
$15
PnL
-$12.8
Record
52%
2296-2150 (4446)
Invested
$8.46
Value
$12.64
PnL
+$4.17
Record
51%
1492-1421 (2913)
Invested
$11.7
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.3
Record
48%
2261-2474 (4735)
Invested
$16.72
Value
$9.26
PnL
+$6.99
Record
59%
3865-2632 (6497)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$5.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.2
Record
70%
1672-705 (2377)
Invested
$3.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.4
Record
44%
1260-1624 (2884)
Invested
$0.82
Value
$1.82
PnL
+$1
Record
50%
852-864 (1716)
Invested
$155.08
Value
—
PnL
-$155.08
Record
49%
2374-2443 (4817)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$21.4
Value
—
PnL
-$21.4
Record
44%
2183-2822 (5005)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1401-2422 (3823)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
—
PnL
-$4.5
Record
47%
2185-2435 (4620)
Invested
$14.01
Value
—
PnL
+$6.3
Record
51%
4740-4541 (9281)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $968.9
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $399.78
hoodquant
Up — $137
ply-pm2
Up — $35.9
PBot-5
Up — $70
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown — $0
mo-money
Up — $30

Polkadot-Frog
Up — $15
almach
Up — $12.64