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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

19

Up 72%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.2K

Combined PnL

-$30.71

Smart Money Signal

Up

14 of 19 top traders (74%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up14 traders
Total Value$1.7K
Total Shares1,710
Combined PnL+$162.62
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares813
Combined PnL-$193.33
Up — 74%Down — 26%
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up

Invested

$1,059.13

Value

$968.9

PnL

-$90.24

Record

51%

3321-3240 (6561)

BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$519.46

Value

$490

PnL

-$1.1

Record

54%

3731-3151 (6882)

Both legs:

Up$247.9550.6¢+$250
Down$251.449.3¢-$251.1
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up

Invested

$219.03

Value

$399.78

PnL

+$180.75

Record

58%

3760-2730 (6490)

HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$135.36

Value

$137

PnL

+$1.64

Record

98%

3966-84 (4050)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$82.62

Value

$35.9

PnL

+$1.91

Record

54%

2440-2083 (4523)

PB
PBot-5<$100
Up

Invested

$32.2

Value

$70

PnL

+$37.8

Record

48%

1343-1431 (2774)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$12.3

Value

—

PnL

-$12.3

Record

47%

2283-2545 (4828)

MO
mo-money<$100
Up

Invested

$13.8

Value

$30

PnL

+$16.2

Record

51%

1487-1429 (2916)

Polkadot-Frog
Up

Invested

$150.83

Value

$15

PnL

-$12.8

Record

52%

2296-2150 (4446)

AL
almach<$100
Up

Invested

$8.46

Value

$12.64

PnL

+$4.17

Record

51%

1492-1421 (2913)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$11.7

Value

$15

PnL

+$3.3

Record

48%

2261-2474 (4735)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$16.72

Value

$9.26

PnL

+$6.99

Record

59%

3865-2632 (6497)

BoneOhio<$100
Up

Invested

$5.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$4.2

Record

70%

1672-705 (2377)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$3.6

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.4

Record

44%

1260-1624 (2884)

PB
PBot-6<$100
Up

Invested

$0.82

Value

$1.82

PnL

+$1

Record

50%

852-864 (1716)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR
Down

Invested

$155.08

Value

—

PnL

-$155.08

Record

49%

2374-2443 (4817)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$21.4

Value

—

PnL

-$21.4

Record

44%

2183-2822 (5005)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1401-2422 (3823)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.5

Value

—

PnL

-$4.5

Record

47%

2185-2435 (4620)

BO
bosona<$100
Up

Invested

$14.01

Value

—

PnL

+$6.3

Record

51%

4740-4541 (9281)