Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 63%
1 arb excluded
$2.7K
-$258.29
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 62.6¢ | $1.2K | $1.1K | -$159.34 | 51% 3277-3198 (6475) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 51.1¢ | $526.53 | $495.13 | -$6.32 | 54% 3695-3113 (6808) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 51.1¢ | $253.21 | $495.13 | +$245.08 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.3¢ | $248.11 | — | -$251.4 | |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $474.57 | $480.08 | +$5.51 | 98% 3919-84 (4003) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 37¢ | $165.22 | $446 | +$280.78 | 58% 3734-2702 (6436) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 65.2¢ | $52.34 | $55.26 | +$2.91 | 54% 2422-2063 (4485) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 74.5¢ | $73.18 | $45 | +$0.96 | 52% 2275-2131 (4406) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 43.8¢ | $40.7 | — | -$35.4 | 48% 2240-2454 (4694) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 49.1¢ | $47.35 | — | -$47.35 | 47% 2170-2411 (4581) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 67.5¢ | $24.57 | $29.49 | +$8.48 | 44% 1244-1613 (2857) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $41.57 | $29 | +$6.96 | 47% 2261-2522 (4783) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.2¢ | $57.46 | — | -$6.03 | 49% 2352-2415 (4767) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $79.31 | $27.65 | -$44.24 | 59% 3835-2614 (6449) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $26.4 | $30 | +$3.6 | 51% 1479-1409 (2888) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $26.5 | — | -$26.5 | 51% 1955-1898 (3853) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $16.45 | $35 | +$18.55 | 49% 1332-1414 (2746) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Upavg 21.4¢ | $212.29 | — | -$212.29 | 42% 1769-2426 (4195) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.7¢ | $54.9 | — | -$54.9 | 44% 2169-2794 (4963) |
Invested
$1,237.67
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$159.34
Record
51%
3277-3198 (6475)
Invested
$526.53
Value
$495.13
PnL
-$6.32
Record
54%
3695-3113 (6808)
Both legs:
Invested
$474.57
Value
$480.08
PnL
+$5.51
Record
98%
3919-84 (4003)
Invested
$165.22
Value
$446
PnL
+$280.78
Record
58%
3734-2702 (6436)
Invested
$52.34
Value
$55.26
PnL
+$2.91
Record
54%
2422-2063 (4485)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$73.18
Value
$45
PnL
+$0.96
Record
52%
2275-2131 (4406)
Invested
$40.7
Value
—
PnL
-$35.4
Record
48%
2240-2454 (4694)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$47.35
Value
—
PnL
-$47.35
Record
47%
2170-2411 (4581)
Invested
$24.57
Value
$29.49
PnL
+$8.48
Record
44%
1244-1613 (2857)
Invested
$41.57
Value
$29
PnL
+$6.96
Record
47%
2261-2522 (4783)
Invested
$57.46
Value
—
PnL
-$6.03
Record
49%
2352-2415 (4767)
Invested
$79.31
Value
$27.65
PnL
-$44.24
Record
59%
3835-2614 (6449)
Invested
$26.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.6
Record
51%
1479-1409 (2888)
Invested
$26.5
Value
—
PnL
-$26.5
Record
51%
1955-1898 (3853)
Invested
$16.45
Value
$35
PnL
+$18.55
Record
49%
1332-1414 (2746)
Invested
$212.29
Value
—
PnL
-$212.29
Record
42%
1769-2426 (4195)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$54.9
Value
—
PnL
-$54.9
Record
44%
2169-2794 (4963)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $1.1K
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Down — $480.08
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $446
ply-pm2
Down — $55.26
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $45
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
CTRUp — $0
13897651
Down — $29.49
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $29