Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Up 60%
2 arb excluded
$3.8K
$557.08
Smart Money Signal
9 of 16 top traders (56%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 9.2¢ | $111.79 | $1.2K | +$1.1K | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 67.3¢ | $911.83 | $931.65 | +$19.82 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.4¢ | $744.84 | $757.33 | +$12.49 | 98% 3857-81 (3938) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 51.3¢ | $522.35 | $505.12 | +$2.67 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.7¢ | $250.86 | $505.12 | +$250.67 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 51.3¢ | $251.15 | — | -$248 | |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Downavg 39.5¢ | $205.12 | $89.98 | -$115.15 | 50% 510-513 (1023) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 39.5¢ | $167.63 | — | -$167.63 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 41.7¢ | $37.49 | $89.98 | +$52.49 | |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 63.8¢ | $135.13 | $97.48 | -$0.92 | 54% 2390-2039 (4429) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 53.4¢ | $64.86 | $75.43 | +$10.57 | 44% 1229-1596 (2825) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 86.2¢ | $85.82 | $25 | -$0.2 | 52% 2247-2098 (4345) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $19.99 | $49.99 | +$29.99 | 71% 1635-682 (2317) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $17.4 | $15 | -$2.4 | 44% 2131-2751 (4882) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 40.7¢ | $14.15 | — | -$14.15 | 48% 2195-2413 (4608) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 38.4¢ | $33.85 | — | -$27.25 | 47% 2139-2368 (4507) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 19.7¢ | $20.4 | — | -$8.57 | 50% 2462-2507 (4969) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $3 | $10 | +$7 | 51% 1450-1401 (2851) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Downavg 75.3¢ | $300.68 | — | -$300.68 | 58% 3692-2676 (6368) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 45.5¢ | $2.46 | — | -$2.46 | 47% 2230-2478 (4708) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 21¢ | $221.26 | — | -$221.26 | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 80.8¢ | $50.04 | — | -$45.12 | 59% 3783-2578 (6361) |
Invested
$111.79
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$1.1K
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
Invested
$911.83
Value
$931.65
PnL
+$19.82
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
Invested
$744.84
Value
$757.33
PnL
+$12.49
Record
98%
3857-81 (3938)
Invested
$522.35
Value
$505.12
PnL
+$2.67
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Both legs:
Invested
$205.12
Value
$89.98
PnL
-$115.15
Record
50%
510-513 (1023)
Both legs:
Invested
$135.13
Value
$97.48
PnL
-$0.92
Record
54%
2390-2039 (4429)
Invested
$64.86
Value
$75.43
PnL
+$10.57
Record
44%
1229-1596 (2825)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$85.82
Value
$25
PnL
-$0.2
Record
52%
2247-2098 (4345)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$19.99
Value
$49.99
PnL
+$29.99
Record
71%
1635-682 (2317)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$17.4
Value
$15
PnL
-$2.4
Record
44%
2131-2751 (4882)
Invested
$14.15
Value
—
PnL
-$14.15
Record
48%
2195-2413 (4608)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$33.85
Value
—
PnL
-$27.25
Record
47%
2139-2368 (4507)
Invested
$20.4
Value
—
PnL
-$8.57
Record
50%
2462-2507 (4969)
Invested
$3
Value
$10
PnL
+$7
Record
51%
1450-1401 (2851)
Invested
$300.68
Value
—
PnL
-$300.68
Record
58%
3692-2676 (6368)
Invested
$2.46
Value
—
PnL
-$2.46
Record
47%
2230-2478 (4708)
Invested
$221.26
Value
—
PnL
-$221.26
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
Invested
$50.04
Value
—
PnL
-$45.12
Record
59%
3783-2578 (6361)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $1.2K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $931.65
hoodquant
Up — $757.33
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Up — $97.48
13897651
Up — $75.43
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $25
BoneOhio
Up — $49.99
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $15