Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Up 63%
2 arb excluded
$3.2K
-$314.91
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 43.9¢ | $560.9 | $717.89 | +$174.79 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Downavg 25.3¢ | $279.98 | $509.89 | +$229.91 | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 25.3¢ | $176.69 | — | -$176.69 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 20.3¢ | $103.29 | $509.89 | +$406.6 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $490.3 | $495.99 | +$5.69 | 98% 3857-81 (3938) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.7¢ | $522 | $490.88 | -$5.95 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Upavg 53.6¢ | $338.72 | $491.24 | +$152.52 | 50% 510-513 (1023) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 53.6¢ | $263.53 | $491.24 | +$227.71 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 28.2¢ | $75.18 | — | -$75.18 | |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 50.4¢ | $272.74 | $273.96 | +$1.22 | 54% 2390-2039 (4429) |
13 13897651 | Upavg 43¢ | $81.29 | $103.9 | +$22.61 | 44% 1229-1596 (2825) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 41.2¢ | $87.74 | — | -$81.14 | 47% 2230-2478 (4708) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 63.6¢ | $89.95 | — | -$82.25 | 52% 2247-2098 (4345) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 53.6¢ | $43.09 | $55.65 | +$12.56 | 47% 2139-2368 (4507) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $34.85 | $34.88 | +$0.03 | 52% 1415-1309 (2724) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 47.6¢ | $35.95 | $40.19 | +$4.24 | 48% 2195-2413 (4608) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 44.5¢ | $6.47 | — | -$6.47 | 50% 2462-2507 (4969) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $2.45 | — | -$2.45 | 49% 1304-1382 (2686) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $2.6 | $5 | +$2.4 | 59% 3783-2578 (6361) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $1.56 | $6 | +$4.44 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Downavg 65.2¢ | $346.48 | — | -$346.48 | 58% 3692-2676 (6368) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.3¢ | $18.15 | — | -$18.15 | 44% 2131-2751 (4882) |
Invested
$560.9
Value
$717.89
PnL
+$174.79
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
Invested
$279.98
Value
$509.89
PnL
+$229.91
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
Both legs:
Invested
$490.3
Value
$495.99
PnL
+$5.69
Record
98%
3857-81 (3938)
Invested
$522
Value
$490.88
PnL
-$5.95
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Invested
$338.72
Value
$491.24
PnL
+$152.52
Record
50%
510-513 (1023)
Both legs:
Invested
$272.74
Value
$273.96
PnL
+$1.22
Record
54%
2390-2039 (4429)
Invested
$81.29
Value
$103.9
PnL
+$22.61
Record
44%
1229-1596 (2825)
Invested
$87.74
Value
—
PnL
-$81.14
Record
47%
2230-2478 (4708)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$89.95
Value
—
PnL
-$82.25
Record
52%
2247-2098 (4345)
ohioism<$100Invested
$43.09
Value
$55.65
PnL
+$12.56
Record
47%
2139-2368 (4507)
Invested
$34.85
Value
$34.88
PnL
+$0.03
Record
52%
1415-1309 (2724)
Invested
$35.95
Value
$40.19
PnL
+$4.24
Record
48%
2195-2413 (4608)
Invested
$6.47
Value
—
PnL
-$6.47
Record
50%
2462-2507 (4969)
Invested
$2.45
Value
—
PnL
-$2.45
Record
49%
1304-1382 (2686)
Invested
$2.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.4
Record
59%
3783-2578 (6361)
Invested
$1.56
Value
$6
PnL
+$4.44
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
Invested
$346.48
Value
—
PnL
-$346.48
Record
58%
3692-2676 (6368)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$18.15
Value
—
PnL
-$18.15
Record
44%
2131-2751 (4882)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $717.89
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $495.99
ByteBadger92
Up — $490.88
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Up — $273.96
13897651
Up — $103.9
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
Up — $55.65