Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 74%
1 arb excluded
$3.8K
$186.23
Smart Money Signal
14 of 19 top traders (74%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.2¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$19.97 | 98% 3857-81 (3938) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 61.9¢ | $630.67 | $735.26 | +$104.59 | 50% 510-513 (1023) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 57.8¢ | $608.67 | $549.02 | -$59.65 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $534.62 | $502.42 | -$3.4 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 51¢ | $256.26 | $502.42 | +$249.4 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.9¢ | $248.35 | — | -$252.8 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 44.5¢ | $185.62 | $416.73 | +$231.11 | 58% 3692-2676 (6368) |
 ohioism | Upavg 49¢ | $77.43 | $115 | +$37.57 | 47% 2139-2368 (4507) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 55.6¢ | $121.98 | $77.05 | -$3.11 | 54% 2390-2039 (4429) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 44.5¢ | $43.42 | $62 | +$18.58 | 44% 2131-2751 (4882) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 77.8¢ | $165.26 | $55.52 | +$2.62 | 52% 2247-2098 (4345) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 41.2¢ | $36.22 | — | -$36.22 | 47% 2230-2478 (4708) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $24.09 | $27.69 | +$8.84 | 44% 1229-1596 (2825) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 26.2¢ | $24.19 | — | -$24.19 | 48% 2195-2413 (4608) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $20.7 | $30 | +$9.3 | 51% 1455-1389 (2844) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $20.7 | $30 | +$9.3 | 51% 4704-4511 (9215) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $20.7 | $30 | +$9.3 | 51% 1450-1401 (2851) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $10.28 | $17.72 | +$7.44 | 46% 2852-3388 (6240) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 37.7¢ | $6.9 | $18.29 | +$11.39 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $12.8 | — | -$9.8 | 59% 3783-2578 (6361) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 40.2¢ | $148.89 | — | -$148.89 | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $1.94 | — | -$1.94 | 49% 1304-1382 (2686) |
Invested
$1,065.86
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$19.97
Record
98%
3857-81 (3938)
Invested
$630.67
Value
$735.26
PnL
+$104.59
Record
50%
510-513 (1023)
Invested
$608.67
Value
$549.02
PnL
-$59.65
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
Invested
$534.62
Value
$502.42
PnL
-$3.4
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Both legs:
Invested
$185.62
Value
$416.73
PnL
+$231.11
Record
58%
3692-2676 (6368)
ohioismInvested
$77.43
Value
$115
PnL
+$37.57
Record
47%
2139-2368 (4507)
Invested
$121.98
Value
$77.05
PnL
-$3.11
Record
54%
2390-2039 (4429)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$43.42
Value
$62
PnL
+$18.58
Record
44%
2131-2751 (4882)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$165.26
Value
$55.52
PnL
+$2.62
Record
52%
2247-2098 (4345)
Invested
$36.22
Value
—
PnL
-$36.22
Record
47%
2230-2478 (4708)
Invested
$24.09
Value
$27.69
PnL
+$8.84
Record
44%
1229-1596 (2825)
Invested
$24.19
Value
—
PnL
-$24.19
Record
48%
2195-2413 (4608)
Invested
$20.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$9.3
Record
51%
1455-1389 (2844)
Invested
$20.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$9.3
Record
51%
4704-4511 (9215)
Invested
$20.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$9.3
Record
51%
1450-1401 (2851)
Invested
$10.28
Value
$17.72
PnL
+$7.44
Record
46%
2852-3388 (6240)
Invested
$6.9
Value
$18.29
PnL
+$11.39
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
Invested
$12.8
Value
—
PnL
-$9.8
Record
59%
3783-2578 (6361)
Invested
$148.89
Value
—
PnL
-$148.89
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
Invested
$1.94
Value
—
PnL
-$1.94
Record
49%
1304-1382 (2686)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $1.1K
aswfadq1555
Up — $735.26
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $549.02
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $416.73
ohioism
Up — $115
ply-pm2
Up — $77.05
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $62
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $55.52
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown — $0