Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 57%
1 arb excluded
$3.2K
-$177.79
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.0K | $1.0K | +$10.17 | 98% 3730-79 (3809) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 76.6¢ | $835.4 | $781.71 | -$53.69 | 50% 499-500 (999) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 68.7¢ | $1.2K | $749.82 | -$37.69 | 50% 2267-2294 (4561) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.5¢ | $504.32 | $499.09 | +$1.1 | 54% 3514-2992 (6506) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $249.34 | $499.09 | +$251.1 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.5¢ | $250.05 | — | -$250 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 82.5¢ | $88.12 | $64.43 | +$5.7 | 58% 3629-2629 (6258) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 78.7¢ | $110.79 | $56 | +$8.34 | 54% 2335-1997 (4332) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 33.7¢ | $48.3 | — | -$33.78 | 43% 1196-1570 (2766) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $20.57 | $22 | +$1.43 | 47% 2079-2312 (4391) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 71.4¢ | $45.97 | $20 | +$5.41 | 52% 2196-2051 (4247) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $19.5 | $25.66 | +$6.16 | 51% 3173-3101 (6274) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.8¢ | $26.4 | — | -$20 | 48% 2136-2349 (4485) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 37¢ | $28.9 | — | -$16.3 | 48% 2176-2405 (4581) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $6.2 | — | -$2.8 | 50% 2409-2440 (4849) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1353-2279 (3632) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 12.4¢ | $50.7 | — | -$50.7 | 42% 1686-2284 (3970) |
Invested
$1,006.83
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$10.17
Record
98%
3730-79 (3809)
Invested
$835.4
Value
$781.71
PnL
-$53.69
Record
50%
499-500 (999)
Invested
$1,220.43
Value
$749.82
PnL
-$37.69
Record
50%
2267-2294 (4561)
Invested
$504.32
Value
$499.09
PnL
+$1.1
Record
54%
3514-2992 (6506)
Both legs:
Invested
$88.12
Value
$64.43
PnL
+$5.7
Record
58%
3629-2629 (6258)
Invested
$110.79
Value
$56
PnL
+$8.34
Record
54%
2335-1997 (4332)
Invested
$48.3
Value
—
PnL
-$33.78
Record
43%
1196-1570 (2766)
ohioism<$100Invested
$20.57
Value
$22
PnL
+$1.43
Record
47%
2079-2312 (4391)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$45.97
Value
$20
PnL
+$5.41
Record
52%
2196-2051 (4247)
Invested
$19.5
Value
$25.66
PnL
+$6.16
Record
51%
3173-3101 (6274)
Invested
$26.4
Value
—
PnL
-$20
Record
48%
2136-2349 (4485)
Invested
$28.9
Value
—
PnL
-$16.3
Record
48%
2176-2405 (4581)
Invested
$6.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
50%
2409-2440 (4849)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1353-2279 (3632)
Invested
$50.7
Value
—
PnL
-$50.7
Record
42%
1686-2284 (3970)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.0K
aswfadq1555
Down — $781.71
uninformedfloww
Down — $749.82
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $64.43
ply-pm2
Down — $56
13897651
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
Down — $22
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $20
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $25.66