Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Up 79%
1 arb excluded
$3.7K
-$87.08
Smart Money Signal
19 of 24 top traders (79%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 54.7¢ | $889.73 | $1.0K | +$145.55 | 51% 3138-3071 (6209) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 52.3¢ | $543.69 | $633.82 | +$100.66 | 50% 493-498 (991) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.4¢ | $586.49 | $595.99 | +$9.5 | 98% 3678-79 (3757) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 48.8¢ | $522.28 | $513.68 | +$27.41 | 54% 3484-2956 (6440) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 45.5¢ | $209.07 | $244.71 | +$59.21 | 52% 2184-2035 (4219) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 34.5¢ | $315.08 | — | -$225.75 | 54% 2316-1981 (4297) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 74.8¢ | $253.36 | $165 | +$10.64 | 58% 3619-2623 (6242) |
13 13897651 | Upavg 51.7¢ | $113.4 | $95.79 | +$8.78 | 43% 1190-1559 (2749) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 77.7¢ | $80.86 | $96.68 | +$15.82 | 50% 1389-1374 (2763) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 37.8¢ | $54.82 | $90.01 | +$35.19 | 47% 2060-2289 (4349) |
 G-Penis-MonsterARB<$100 | Downavg 32.9¢ | $63.12 | $60 | -$3.12 | 44% 2059-2654 (4713) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 32.9¢ | $38.82 | — | -$38.82 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 40.5¢ | $24.3 | $60 | +$35.7 | |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 49.2¢ | $37.45 | $61.18 | +$25.32 | 48% 2157-2382 (4539) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $43.79 | $40 | -$3.79 | 71% 1584-646 (2230) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $21.6 | — | -$21.6 | 48% 2113-2329 (4442) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $27.9 | $30 | +$2.1 | 49% 1520-1565 (3085) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $23.7 | $24.95 | +$1.25 | 51% 1399-1354 (2753) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 33.4¢ | $292.64 | — | -$273.29 | 50% 2249-2257 (4506) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $19.22 | $17.28 | -$1.95 | 51% 4643-4484 (9127) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 21.5¢ | $69.96 | — | -$29.7 | 59% 3675-2516 (6191) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $2.76 | $6 | +$3.24 | 42% 1669-2262 (3931) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $5.63 | $10.83 | +$5.2 | 50% 1894-1863 (3757) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $5.2 | $10 | +$4.8 | 50% 805-795 (1600) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $2.55 | $5 | +$2.45 | 37% 1347-2255 (3602) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $3.73 | $7.31 | +$3.58 | 46% 2743-3256 (5999) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 16¢ | $15.6 | — | +$8.29 | 50% 2392-2413 (4805) |
Invested
$889.73
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$145.55
Record
51%
3138-3071 (6209)
Invested
$543.69
Value
$633.82
PnL
+$100.66
Record
50%
493-498 (991)
Invested
$586.49
Value
$595.99
PnL
+$9.5
Record
98%
3678-79 (3757)
Invested
$522.28
Value
$513.68
PnL
+$27.41
Record
54%
3484-2956 (6440)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$209.07
Value
$244.71
PnL
+$59.21
Record
52%
2184-2035 (4219)
Invested
$315.08
Value
—
PnL
-$225.75
Record
54%
2316-1981 (4297)
Invested
$253.36
Value
$165
PnL
+$10.64
Record
58%
3619-2623 (6242)
Invested
$113.4
Value
$95.79
PnL
+$8.78
Record
43%
1190-1559 (2749)
Invested
$80.86
Value
$96.68
PnL
+$15.82
Record
50%
1389-1374 (2763)
ohioism<$100Invested
$54.82
Value
$90.01
PnL
+$35.19
Record
47%
2060-2289 (4349)
G-Penis-MonsterARB<$100Invested
$63.12
Value
$60
PnL
-$3.12
Record
44%
2059-2654 (4713)
Both legs:
Invested
$37.45
Value
$61.18
PnL
+$25.32
Record
48%
2157-2382 (4539)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$43.79
Value
$40
PnL
-$3.79
Record
71%
1584-646 (2230)
Invested
$21.6
Value
—
PnL
-$21.6
Record
48%
2113-2329 (4442)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$27.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$2.1
Record
49%
1520-1565 (3085)
Invested
$23.7
Value
$24.95
PnL
+$1.25
Record
51%
1399-1354 (2753)
Invested
$292.64
Value
—
PnL
-$273.29
Record
50%
2249-2257 (4506)
Invested
$19.22
Value
$17.28
PnL
-$1.95
Record
51%
4643-4484 (9127)
Invested
$69.96
Value
—
PnL
-$29.7
Record
59%
3675-2516 (6191)
Invested
$2.76
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.24
Record
42%
1669-2262 (3931)
Invested
$5.63
Value
$10.83
PnL
+$5.2
Record
50%
1894-1863 (3757)
Invested
$5.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.8
Record
50%
805-795 (1600)
Invested
$2.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.45
Record
37%
1347-2255 (3602)
Invested
$3.73
Value
$7.31
PnL
+$3.58
Record
46%
2743-3256 (5999)
Invested
$15.6
Value
—
PnL
+$8.29
Record
50%
2392-2413 (4805)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $1.0K
aswfadq1555
Up — $633.82
hoodquant
Up — $595.99
ByteBadger92
Up — $513.68
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $244.71
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $165
13897651
Up — $95.79
mo-money
Up — $96.68
ohioism
Up — $90.01