Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
18
Down 50%
$1.7K
-$875.09
Smart Money Signal
9 of 18 top traders (50%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 47.4Β’ | $761.51 | $868.83 | +$107.32 | 50% 488-495 (983) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.5Β’ | $593.92 | $603 | +$9.08 | 98% 3651-75 (3726) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.4Β’ | $502.63 | β | -$492.14 | 54% 3449-2937 (6386) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Upavg 31.3Β’ | $325.19 | β | -$325.19 | 51% 3103-3041 (6144) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 75.6Β’ | $94.64 | $54.28 | +$0.92 | 54% 2295-1973 (4268) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 64Β’ | $51.2 | $53.89 | +$19.92 | 59% 3649-2497 (6146) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 44.3Β’ | $20.45 | $24.2 | +$3.75 | 43% 1179-1556 (2735) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 52.8Β’ | $26.4 | β | -$26.4 | 50% 1880-1856 (3736) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.5Β’ | $22.75 | β | -$22.75 | 47% 2135-2370 (4505) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 70Β’ | $21 | $30 | +$9 | 51% 4625-4478 (9103) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 47Β’ | $16.45 | $35 | +$18.55 | 48% 1230-1322 (2552) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 66Β’ | $3.96 | $6 | +$2.04 | 42% 1643-2244 (3887) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 70Β’ | $2.54 | $3.63 | +$1.09 | 50% 1373-1367 (2740) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 29.3Β’ | $116.25 | β | -$116.25 | 50% 2231-2229 (4460) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 37% 1340-2240 (3580) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 17Β’ | $30.15 | β | -$30.15 | 58% 3610-2614 (6224) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 43.6Β’ | $31.63 | β | -$31.63 | 47% 2042-2277 (4319) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 11Β’ | $2.2 | β | -$2.2 | 47% 2092-2317 (4409) |
Invested
$761.51
Value
$868.83
PnL
+$107.32
Record
50%
488-495 (983)
Invested
$593.92
Value
$603
PnL
+$9.08
Record
98%
3651-75 (3726)
Invested
$502.63
Value
β
PnL
-$492.14
Record
54%
3449-2937 (6386)
Invested
$325.19
Value
β
PnL
-$325.19
Record
51%
3103-3041 (6144)
Invested
$94.64
Value
$54.28
PnL
+$0.92
Record
54%
2295-1973 (4268)
Invested
$51.2
Value
$53.89
PnL
+$19.92
Record
59%
3649-2497 (6146)
Invested
$20.45
Value
$24.2
PnL
+$3.75
Record
43%
1179-1556 (2735)
Invested
$26.4
Value
β
PnL
-$26.4
Record
50%
1880-1856 (3736)
Invested
$22.75
Value
β
PnL
-$22.75
Record
47%
2135-2370 (4505)
Invested
$21
Value
$30
PnL
+$9
Record
51%
4625-4478 (9103)
Invested
$16.45
Value
$35
PnL
+$18.55
Record
48%
1230-1322 (2552)
Invested
$3.96
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.04
Record
42%
1643-2244 (3887)
Invested
$2.54
Value
$3.63
PnL
+$1.09
Record
50%
1373-1367 (2740)
Invested
$116.25
Value
β
PnL
-$116.25
Record
50%
2231-2229 (4460)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1340-2240 (3580)
Invested
$30.15
Value
β
PnL
-$30.15
Record
58%
3610-2614 (6224)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$31.63
Value
β
PnL
-$31.63
Record
47%
2042-2277 (4319)
Invested
$2.2
Value
β
PnL
-$2.2
Record
47%
2092-2317 (4409)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
aswfadq1555
Down β $868.83
hoodquant
Down β $603
ByteBadger92
CTRUp β $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp β $0
ply-pm2
Down β $54.28
aaa221
Down β $53.89
13897651
Down β $24.2
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0
bosona
Down β $30