Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 29%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$848.75

Combined PnL

-$126.54

Down

4 of 14 top traders (29%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down4 traders

Total Value$358.74

Total Shares359

Combined PnL+$77.88

Up10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares644

Combined PnL-$204.42

Down — 29%Up — 71%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.7¢	$503.3	$490.01	-$6.5	54% 3449-2937 (6386)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.7¢	$253.3	—	-$253.3
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$245	$490.01	+$246.8
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 69.2¢	$196.37	$259.74	+$63.37	51% 3103-3041 (6144)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Downavg 78.8¢	$51.2	$65	+$13.8	58% 3610-2614 (6224)
AS aswfadq1555CTR	Upavg 26.7¢	$112.78	—	-$112.78	50% 488-495 (983)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$23.76	$24	+$0.24	98% 3651-75 (3726)
PB PBot-6<$100	Downavg 51¢	$9.53	$10	+$0.47	50% 794-790 (1584)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 58¢	$5.8	—	-$5.8	50% 1880-1856 (3736)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$3.73	—	-$3.73	46% 2702-3200 (5902)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 42.5¢	$11.43	—	-$1.43	54% 2295-1973 (4268)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Upavg 34¢	$1.71	—	-$1.71	43% 1179-1556 (2735)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 36.3¢	$20.71	—	-$0.11	52% 2174-2029 (4203)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 34.7¢	$78.68	—	-$78.68	50% 2231-2229 (4460)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.07	—	-$0.07	44% 2041-2641 (4682)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.06	—	-$0.06	42% 1643-2244 (3887)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1340-2240 (3580)