Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Up 67%
1 arb excluded
$1.8K
-$489.28
Smart Money Signal
10 of 15 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $504.26 | $492.96 | -$4.43 | 54% 3405-2902 (6307) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.9¢ | $250.64 | — | -$251.12 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $246.48 | $492.96 | +$246.69 | |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 99¢ | $466.49 | $471.27 | +$4.78 | 42% 1619-2223 (3842) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 66¢ | $448.29 | $432.44 | -$15.85 | 50% 3063-3014 (6077) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR | Downavg 30.7¢ | $264.88 | — | -$251.83 | 49% 480-493 (973) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 92¢ | $200.24 | $100 | -$92.24 | 58% 3596-2603 (6199) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 70¢ | $123.98 | $95.63 | +$3.8 | 52% 2159-2014 (4173) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 59.4¢ | $107.34 | $74.05 | -$1.14 | 54% 2271-1956 (4227) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $14.7 | $30 | +$15.3 | 47% 2103-2356 (4459) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $21.85 | $29.13 | +$7.28 | 59% 3605-2478 (6083) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 61.5¢ | $9.84 | $16 | +$6.16 | 47% 2019-2253 (4272) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 51.9¢ | $5.73 | $11.05 | +$5.32 | 43% 1169-1546 (2715) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $10.03 | — | -$10.03 | 43% 2013-2620 (4633) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $7.2 | — | -$7.2 | 47% 2067-2299 (4366) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $3.73 | $7.04 | +$3.31 | 46% 2679-3158 (5837) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $0.85 | — | -$0.85 | 50% 782-781 (1563) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 52.5¢ | $156.09 | — | -$156.09 | 50% 2222-2217 (4439) |
Invested
$504.26
Value
$492.96
PnL
-$4.43
Record
54%
3405-2902 (6307)
Both legs:
Invested
$466.49
Value
$471.27
PnL
+$4.78
Record
42%
1619-2223 (3842)
Invested
$448.29
Value
$432.44
PnL
-$15.85
Record
50%
3063-3014 (6077)
Invested
$264.88
Value
—
PnL
-$251.83
Record
49%
480-493 (973)
Invested
$200.24
Value
$100
PnL
-$92.24
Record
58%
3596-2603 (6199)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$123.98
Value
$95.63
PnL
+$3.8
Record
52%
2159-2014 (4173)
Invested
$107.34
Value
$74.05
PnL
-$1.14
Record
54%
2271-1956 (4227)
Invested
$14.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$15.3
Record
47%
2103-2356 (4459)
Invested
$21.85
Value
$29.13
PnL
+$7.28
Record
59%
3605-2478 (6083)
ohioism<$100Invested
$9.84
Value
$16
PnL
+$6.16
Record
47%
2019-2253 (4272)
Invested
$5.73
Value
$11.05
PnL
+$5.32
Record
43%
1169-1546 (2715)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$10.03
Value
—
PnL
-$10.03
Record
43%
2013-2620 (4633)
Invested
$7.2
Value
—
PnL
-$7.2
Record
47%
2067-2299 (4366)
Invested
$3.73
Value
$7.04
PnL
+$3.31
Record
46%
2679-3158 (5837)
Invested
$0.85
Value
—
PnL
-$0.85
Record
50%
782-781 (1563)
Invested
$156.09
Value
—
PnL
-$156.09
Record
50%
2222-2217 (4439)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $471.27
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $432.44
aswfadq1555
CTRDown — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $100
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $95.63
ply-pm2
Up — $74.05
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $30
aaa221
Up — $29.13
ohioism
Up — $16